Magnus Carlsen leads the Norway Chess 2026 winner market at 64.5% implied probability thanks to his world-top 2840 FIDE rating, unmatched classical form, and seven prior titles in the event now shifting to Oslo. As the host nation's elite grandmaster in this six-player double round-robin, his home-soil consistency and head-to-head edge over the field anchor trader consensus. Gukesh Dommaraju, the reigning world champion, and rising talents Vincent Keymer, Alireza Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and Wesley So each sit in the 9-12% range, reflecting their strong recent results, high ratings, and potential for upsets in a compact classical format. Recent field finalization with So's inclusion has sharpened focus on these matchups without altering Carlsen's clear positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMagnus Carlsen 65%
Alireza Firouzja 12%
Vincent Keymer 12%
Gukesh Dommaraju 10%
Magnus Carlsen
65%
Alireza Firouzja
12%
Vincent Keymer
12%
Gukesh Dommaraju
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Wesley So
9%
Magnus Carlsen 65%
Alireza Firouzja 12%
Vincent Keymer 12%
Gukesh Dommaraju 10%
Magnus Carlsen
65%
Alireza Firouzja
12%
Vincent Keymer
12%
Gukesh Dommaraju
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Wesley So
9%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen leads the Norway Chess 2026 winner market at 64.5% implied probability thanks to his world-top 2840 FIDE rating, unmatched classical form, and seven prior titles in the event now shifting to Oslo. As the host nation's elite grandmaster in this six-player double round-robin, his home-soil consistency and head-to-head edge over the field anchor trader consensus. Gukesh Dommaraju, the reigning world champion, and rising talents Vincent Keymer, Alireza Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and Wesley So each sit in the 9-12% range, reflecting their strong recent results, high ratings, and potential for upsets in a compact classical format. Recent field finalization with So's inclusion has sharpened focus on these matchups without altering Carlsen's clear positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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