Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds an edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island with a modest Republican lean. LaLota, first elected in 2022, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary ahead of the June 23 vote and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face an open primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, with the nominee set to challenge in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a modest Republican advantage consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and incumbent status, though the relatively narrow spread signals sensitivity to national midterm dynamics, turnout patterns, and any late primary surprises that could alter the general-election matchup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$32,533 Объем
$32,533 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
41%
$32,533 Объем
$32,533 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
$10,059 Объем
61%
Democratic Party
$22,474 Объем
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds an edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island with a modest Republican lean. LaLota, first elected in 2022, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary ahead of the June 23 vote and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face an open primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, with the nominee set to challenge in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a modest Republican advantage consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and incumbent status, though the relatively narrow spread signals sensitivity to national midterm dynamics, turnout patterns, and any late primary surprises that could alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$32,533Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds an edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island with a modest Republican lean. LaLota, first elected in 2022, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary ahead of the June 23 vote and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face an open primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, with the nominee set to challenge in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a modest Republican advantage consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and incumbent status, though the relatively narrow spread signals sensitivity to national midterm dynamics, turnout patterns, and any late primary surprises that could alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$32,533Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds an edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island with a modest Republican lean. LaLota, first elected in 2022, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary ahead of the June 23 vote and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face an open primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, with the nominee set to challenge in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a modest Republican advantage consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and incumbent status, though the relatively narrow spread signals sensitivity to national midterm dynamics, turnout patterns, and any late primary surprises that could alter the general-election matchup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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