Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec sits at 22-24%, with the Coalition Avenir Québec close behind amid a fragmented field that includes the Parti conservateur du Québec near 16%. This distribution leaves many ridings, particularly in Montreal suburbs and the 450 belt, as tight contests between the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ, producing wide ranges in seat models that place the Liberals near 30-33 seats. The October 5 election date and ongoing leadership transitions for the CAQ and PLQ add volatility, as late shifts in francophone or regional turnout could move several outcomes. Trader pricing around the 28-31 seat range reflects these competitive dynamics and the limited time left for campaigns to consolidate support before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено28–31 35%
<28 32%
32–35 24%
36-39 5.3%
$23,640 Объем
$23,640 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<28
32%
28–31
37%
32–35
24%
36-39
5%
40-43
3%
44+
3%
28–31 35%
<28 32%
32–35 24%
36-39 5.3%
$23,640 Объем
$23,640 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<28
$4,601 Объем
32%
28–31
$5,004 Объем
37%
32–35
$6,478 Объем
24%
36-39
$4,891 Объем
5%
40-43
$1,366 Объем
3%
44+
$1,300 Объем
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec sits at 22-24%, with the Coalition Avenir Québec close behind amid a fragmented field that includes the Parti conservateur du Québec near 16%. This distribution leaves many ridings, particularly in Montreal suburbs and the 450 belt, as tight contests between the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ, producing wide ranges in seat models that place the Liberals near 30-33 seats. The October 5 election date and ongoing leadership transitions for the CAQ and PLQ add volatility, as late shifts in francophone or regional turnout could move several outcomes. Trader pricing around the 28-31 seat range reflects these competitive dynamics and the limited time left for campaigns to consolidate support before ballots are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Объем
$23,640Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec sits at 22-24%, with the Coalition Avenir Québec close behind amid a fragmented field that includes the Parti conservateur du Québec near 16%. This distribution leaves many ridings, particularly in Montreal suburbs and the 450 belt, as tight contests between the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ, producing wide ranges in seat models that place the Liberals near 30-33 seats. The October 5 election date and ongoing leadership transitions for the CAQ and PLQ add volatility, as late shifts in francophone or regional turnout could move several outcomes. Trader pricing around the 28-31 seat range reflects these competitive dynamics and the limited time left for campaigns to consolidate support before ballots are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$23,640Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec sits at 22-24%, with the Coalition Avenir Québec close behind amid a fragmented field that includes the Parti conservateur du Québec near 16%. This distribution leaves many ridings, particularly in Montreal suburbs and the 450 belt, as tight contests between the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ, producing wide ranges in seat models that place the Liberals near 30-33 seats. The October 5 election date and ongoing leadership transitions for the CAQ and PLQ add volatility, as late shifts in francophone or regional turnout could move several outcomes. Trader pricing around the 28-31 seat range reflects these competitive dynamics and the limited time left for campaigns to consolidate support before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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