Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois near 29 percent support ahead of the October 5 election, positioning it to win the most seats while remaining short of the 64-seat majority threshold. Aggregators project an average seat total in the low-to-mid 50s, with the highest probabilities concentrated below 55 due to numerous tight races against the Coalition Avenir Québec and modest Liberal gains in key ridings. Recent mid-September surveys from Léger, Nanos, Research Co., and others confirm stable PQ numbers alongside slight CAQ erosion and PLQ rebound, keeping the outcome in minority-government territory. Vote-efficiency challenges in swing districts and the short campaign window further cap upside potential for higher seat bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<50 40%
50–54 14%
55-59 11%
60-64 9%
$16,460 Объем
$16,460 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<50
40%
50–54
14%
55-59
11%
60-64
9%
65–69
7%
70–74
6%
75–79
4%
80+
4%
<50 40%
50–54 14%
55-59 11%
60-64 9%
$16,460 Объем
$16,460 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<50
$4,903 Объем
40%
50–54
$1,395 Объем
14%
55-59
$852 Объем
11%
60-64
$983 Объем
9%
65–69
$3,282 Объем
7%
70–74
$2,651 Объем
6%
75–79
$1,290 Объем
4%
80+
$1,104 Объем
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois near 29 percent support ahead of the October 5 election, positioning it to win the most seats while remaining short of the 64-seat majority threshold. Aggregators project an average seat total in the low-to-mid 50s, with the highest probabilities concentrated below 55 due to numerous tight races against the Coalition Avenir Québec and modest Liberal gains in key ridings. Recent mid-September surveys from Léger, Nanos, Research Co., and others confirm stable PQ numbers alongside slight CAQ erosion and PLQ rebound, keeping the outcome in minority-government territory. Vote-efficiency challenges in swing districts and the short campaign window further cap upside potential for higher seat bands.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Объем
$16,460Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois near 29 percent support ahead of the October 5 election, positioning it to win the most seats while remaining short of the 64-seat majority threshold. Aggregators project an average seat total in the low-to-mid 50s, with the highest probabilities concentrated below 55 due to numerous tight races against the Coalition Avenir Québec and modest Liberal gains in key ridings. Recent mid-September surveys from Léger, Nanos, Research Co., and others confirm stable PQ numbers alongside slight CAQ erosion and PLQ rebound, keeping the outcome in minority-government territory. Vote-efficiency challenges in swing districts and the short campaign window further cap upside potential for higher seat bands.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$16,460Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois near 29 percent support ahead of the October 5 election, positioning it to win the most seats while remaining short of the 64-seat majority threshold. Aggregators project an average seat total in the low-to-mid 50s, with the highest probabilities concentrated below 55 due to numerous tight races against the Coalition Avenir Québec and modest Liberal gains in key ridings. Recent mid-September surveys from Léger, Nanos, Research Co., and others confirm stable PQ numbers alongside slight CAQ erosion and PLQ rebound, keeping the outcome in minority-government territory. Vote-efficiency challenges in swing districts and the short campaign window further cap upside potential for higher seat bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы