Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan’s commanding position stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and his 68.5% margin in 2024. Uncontested advancement through the May 2026 Republican primary reinforced continuity, while the Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a solidly rated seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major personal or ethical development affecting Jordan, an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOH-04 House Election Winner
OH-04 House Election Winner
$11,214 Объем
$11,214 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$11,214 Объем
$11,214 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
$5,603 Объем
93%
Democratic Party
$5,611 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan’s commanding position stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and his 68.5% margin in 2024. Uncontested advancement through the May 2026 Republican primary reinforced continuity, while the Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a solidly rated seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major personal or ethical development affecting Jordan, an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$11,214Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan’s commanding position stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and his 68.5% margin in 2024. Uncontested advancement through the May 2026 Republican primary reinforced continuity, while the Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a solidly rated seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major personal or ethical development affecting Jordan, an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,214Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan’s commanding position stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and his 68.5% margin in 2024. Uncontested advancement through the May 2026 Republican primary reinforced continuity, while the Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a solidly rated seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major personal or ethical development affecting Jordan, an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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