Ohio's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ ahead of the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jim Jordan secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from substantial name recognition, fundraising edges, and alignment with the district's voting patterns. Democratic nominees Joshua Kolasinski and Tracey Tackett face structural barriers in a seat where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party incorporates these fundamentals, though a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOH-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OH-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,804 Объем
$14,804 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$14,804 Объем
$14,804 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,652 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$9,152 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ ahead of the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jim Jordan secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from substantial name recognition, fundraising edges, and alignment with the district's voting patterns. Democratic nominees Joshua Kolasinski and Tracey Tackett face structural barriers in a seat where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party incorporates these fundamentals, though a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$14,804Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ ahead of the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jim Jordan secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from substantial name recognition, fundraising edges, and alignment with the district's voting patterns. Democratic nominees Joshua Kolasinski and Tracey Tackett face structural barriers in a seat where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party incorporates these fundamentals, though a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,804Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ ahead of the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jim Jordan secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from substantial name recognition, fundraising edges, and alignment with the district's voting patterns. Democratic nominees Joshua Kolasinski and Tracey Tackett face structural barriers in a seat where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party incorporates these fundamentals, though a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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