Ramaswamy’s landslide victory in Ohio’s May 5 Republican primary, where he captured roughly 82 percent of the vote against his lone opponent, has anchored trader expectations for a 60–70 percent margin. Strong Trump endorsement, unified party support, and superior fundraising created overwhelming momentum in a low-turnout contest featuring a little-known challenger. This outcome aligns closely with the skin-in-the-game consensus reflected in current pricing. Only an official recount revealing major tabulation errors or a surprise eligibility ruling could realistically shift the final margin outside the 60–70 range, though both remain highly improbable given the scale of the reported results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРеспубликанские праймериз губернатора Огайо: предел победы
Рамасвами 60-70% 99.6%
Другое 2.1%
Рамасвами 70%+ <1%
Рамасвами 50–60% <1%
$65,083 Объем
$65,083 Объем
Рамасвами <30%
<1%
Рамасвами 30-40%
<1%
Рамасвами 40-50%
<1%
Рамасвами 50–60%
1%
Рамасвами 60-70%
100%
Рамасвами 70%+
1%
Другое
2%
Рамасвами 60-70% 99.6%
Другое 2.1%
Рамасвами 70%+ <1%
Рамасвами 50–60% <1%
$65,083 Объем
$65,083 Объем
Рамасвами <30%
<1%
Рамасвами 30-40%
<1%
Рамасвами 40-50%
<1%
Рамасвами 50–60%
1%
Рамасвами 60-70%
100%
Рамасвами 70%+
1%
Другое
2%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramaswamy’s landslide victory in Ohio’s May 5 Republican primary, where he captured roughly 82 percent of the vote against his lone opponent, has anchored trader expectations for a 60–70 percent margin. Strong Trump endorsement, unified party support, and superior fundraising created overwhelming momentum in a low-turnout contest featuring a little-known challenger. This outcome aligns closely with the skin-in-the-game consensus reflected in current pricing. Only an official recount revealing major tabulation errors or a surprise eligibility ruling could realistically shift the final margin outside the 60–70 range, though both remain highly improbable given the scale of the reported results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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