Ramaswamy’s dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary margin-of-victory market reflects his overwhelming frontrunner status against a single minor challenger, bolstered by high-profile endorsements and strong name recognition among GOP voters. Recent polling and campaign momentum have reinforced expectations of a decisive win in the low-to-mid 60s percent range, aligning closely with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. Traders view the race as effectively decided well before the primary date, limiting any realistic path for narrower margins unless an unexpected late surge from opposition materializes. Only a dramatic polling reversal or turnout surprise could shift the implied probability away from the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРеспубликанские праймериз губернатора Огайо: предел победы
Республиканские праймериз губернатора Огайо: предел победы
Рамасвами 60-70% 99.4%
Рамасвами 50–60% 9.8%
Рамасвами 70%+ <1%
Рамасвами <30% <1%
$66,212 Объем
$66,212 Объем
5 мая 2026 г.
Рамасвами <30%
<1%
Рамасвами 30-40%
<1%
Рамасвами 40-50%
<1%
Рамасвами 50–60%
10%
Рамасвами 60-70%
99%
Рамасвами 70%+
1%
Другое
<1%
Рамасвами 60-70% 99.4%
Рамасвами 50–60% 9.8%
Рамасвами 70%+ <1%
Рамасвами <30% <1%
$66,212 Объем
$66,212 Объем
5 мая 2026 г.
Рамасвами <30%
$4,024 Объем
<1%
Рамасвами 30-40%
$2,310 Объем
<1%
Рамасвами 40-50%
$2,770 Объем
<1%
Рамасвами 50–60%
$10,690 Объем
10%
Рамасвами 60-70%
$13,477 Объем
99%
Рамасвами 70%+
$31,620 Объем
1%
Другое
$1,321 Объем
<1%
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ramaswamy’s dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary margin-of-victory market reflects his overwhelming frontrunner status against a single minor challenger, bolstered by high-profile endorsements and strong name recognition among GOP voters. Recent polling and campaign momentum have reinforced expectations of a decisive win in the low-to-mid 60s percent range, aligning closely with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. Traders view the race as effectively decided well before the primary date, limiting any realistic path for narrower margins unless an unexpected late surge from opposition materializes. Only a dramatic polling reversal or turnout surprise could shift the implied probability away from the current consensus.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Объем
$66,212Дата окончания
5 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ramaswamy’s dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary margin-of-victory market reflects his overwhelming frontrunner status against a single minor challenger, bolstered by high-profile endorsements and strong name recognition among GOP voters. Recent polling and campaign momentum have reinforced expectations of a decisive win in the low-to-mid 60s percent range, aligning closely with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. Traders view the race as effectively decided well before the primary date, limiting any realistic path for narrower margins unless an unexpected late surge from opposition materializes. Only a dramatic polling reversal or turnout surprise could shift the implied probability away from the current consensus.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$66,212Дата окончания
5 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramaswamy’s dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary margin-of-victory market reflects his overwhelming frontrunner status against a single minor challenger, bolstered by high-profile endorsements and strong name recognition among GOP voters. Recent polling and campaign momentum have reinforced expectations of a decisive win in the low-to-mid 60s percent range, aligning closely with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. Traders view the race as effectively decided well before the primary date, limiting any realistic path for narrower margins unless an unexpected late surge from opposition materializes. Only a dramatic polling reversal or turnout surprise could shift the implied probability away from the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы