Recent polling and the May 5 primaries have kept the 2026 Ohio Senate special election a toss-up between former Senator Sherrod Brown and appointed incumbent Jon Husted, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 60% implied probability. Brown secured 92% in the Democratic primary amid strong turnout that signaled donor and activist enthusiasm, while also posting an early fundraising advantage. Husted advanced unopposed on the Republican side but trails slightly in the latest RealClearPolling average despite holding narrow leads in several April surveys. Both candidates are drawing on established name recognition and records on issues such as manufacturing and health care, leaving the outcome sensitive to summer polling shifts, upcoming debates, and broader national trends before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Огайо
$78,175 Объем
$78,175 Объем

Демократ
60%

Республиканцы
41%
$78,175 Объем
$78,175 Объем

Демократ
60%

Республиканцы
41%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and the May 5 primaries have kept the 2026 Ohio Senate special election a toss-up between former Senator Sherrod Brown and appointed incumbent Jon Husted, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 60% implied probability. Brown secured 92% in the Democratic primary amid strong turnout that signaled donor and activist enthusiasm, while also posting an early fundraising advantage. Husted advanced unopposed on the Republican side but trails slightly in the latest RealClearPolling average despite holding narrow leads in several April surveys. Both candidates are drawing on established name recognition and records on issues such as manufacturing and health care, leaving the outcome sensitive to summer polling shifts, upcoming debates, and broader national trends before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы