Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by Tulsa and surrounding energy-producing counties, with partisan leans exceeding R+20 in recent cycles. The open seat created by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew from the August runoff. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed from the Tulsa school board but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or national environment shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability events before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОК-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ОК-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,922 Объем
$24,922 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
$24,922 Объем
$24,922 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$13,068 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$11,854 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by Tulsa and surrounding energy-producing counties, with partisan leans exceeding R+20 in recent cycles. The open seat created by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew from the August runoff. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed from the Tulsa school board but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or national environment shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$24,922Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by Tulsa and surrounding energy-producing counties, with partisan leans exceeding R+20 in recent cycles. The open seat created by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew from the August runoff. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed from the Tulsa school board but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or national environment shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,922Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by Tulsa and surrounding energy-producing counties, with partisan leans exceeding R+20 in recent cycles. The open seat created by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew from the August runoff. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed from the Tulsa school board but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or national environment shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability events before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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