Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Оклахомы
Победитель выборов губернатора Оклахомы
$25,387 Объем
$25,387 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
94%
Демократ
6%
$25,387 Объем
$25,387 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$11,678 Объем
94%
Демократ
$13,709 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Объем
$25,387Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$25,387Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы