Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
Победитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
$19,335 Объем
$19,335 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
96%
Демократ
4%
$19,335 Объем
$19,335 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$12,754 Объем
96%
Демократ
$6,582 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$19,335Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$19,335Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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