Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$1,323 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$2,744 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$4,068Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$4,068Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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