Oregon's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Cliff Bentz advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing roughly 80% of the vote against limited challengers. The sprawling rural district, which has favored Republicans since 1981 and holds more registered Republicans than Democrats, delivered Bentz a 64% general-election margin in 2024. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current trading. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave tied to national conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
$2,974 Объем
93%
Democratic Party
$3,359 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Cliff Bentz advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing roughly 80% of the vote against limited challengers. The sprawling rural district, which has favored Republicans since 1981 and holds more registered Republicans than Democrats, delivered Bentz a 64% general-election margin in 2024. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current trading. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave tied to national conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$6,333Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Cliff Bentz advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing roughly 80% of the vote against limited challengers. The sprawling rural district, which has favored Republicans since 1981 and holds more registered Republicans than Democrats, delivered Bentz a 64% general-election margin in 2024. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current trading. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave tied to national conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$6,333Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Cliff Bentz advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing roughly 80% of the vote against limited challengers. The sprawling rural district, which has favored Republicans since 1981 and holds more registered Republicans than Democrats, delivered Bentz a 64% general-election margin in 2024. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current trading. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave tied to national conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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