Oregon's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying the seat by roughly 46 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter won the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's urban and suburban Portland base, historical margins exceeding 40 points, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline partisan advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$20,108 Объем
$20,108 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
4%
$20,108 Объем
$20,108 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$4,811 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$15,297 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying the seat by roughly 46 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter won the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's urban and suburban Portland base, historical margins exceeding 40 points, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$20,108Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying the seat by roughly 46 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter won the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's urban and suburban Portland base, historical margins exceeding 40 points, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,108Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district features a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying the seat by roughly 46 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter won the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's urban and suburban Portland base, historical margins exceeding 40 points, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline partisan advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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