Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek enters the May 19, 2026, primary with minimal opposition and strong party support, positioning her as the likely nominee in solidly blue Oregon, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won the governorship since 1986. Recent April polls show former Rep. Christine Drazan leading a fragmented GOP primary field amid high undecideds, highlighted by a May 6 debate among top contenders focusing on criticisms of Kotek's policies like housing and taxes. Trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic winner reflects the state's partisan registration edge—Democrats outnumber Republicans—and Kotek's incumbency advantage, despite her narrow 2022 victory; a GOP surge would require unified turnout and swing voter shifts in the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Орегона
Победитель выборов губернатора Орегона
$14,142 Объем
$14,142 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
89%
Республиканец
12%
$14,142 Объем
$14,142 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$7,557 Объем
89%
Республиканец
$6,585 Объем
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek enters the May 19, 2026, primary with minimal opposition and strong party support, positioning her as the likely nominee in solidly blue Oregon, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won the governorship since 1986. Recent April polls show former Rep. Christine Drazan leading a fragmented GOP primary field amid high undecideds, highlighted by a May 6 debate among top contenders focusing on criticisms of Kotek's policies like housing and taxes. Trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic winner reflects the state's partisan registration edge—Democrats outnumber Republicans—and Kotek's incumbency advantage, despite her narrow 2022 victory; a GOP surge would require unified turnout and swing voter shifts in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$14,142Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek enters the May 19, 2026, primary with minimal opposition and strong party support, positioning her as the likely nominee in solidly blue Oregon, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won the governorship since 1986. Recent April polls show former Rep. Christine Drazan leading a fragmented GOP primary field amid high undecideds, highlighted by a May 6 debate among top contenders focusing on criticisms of Kotek's policies like housing and taxes. Trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic winner reflects the state's partisan registration edge—Democrats outnumber Republicans—and Kotek's incumbency advantage, despite her narrow 2022 victory; a GOP surge would require unified turnout and swing voter shifts in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$14,142Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek enters the May 19, 2026, primary with minimal opposition and strong party support, positioning her as the likely nominee in solidly blue Oregon, where Democrats hold legislative supermajorities and no Republican has won the governorship since 1986. Recent April polls show former Rep. Christine Drazan leading a fragmented GOP primary field amid high undecideds, highlighted by a May 6 debate among top contenders focusing on criticisms of Kotek's policies like housing and taxes. Trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic winner reflects the state's partisan registration edge—Democrats outnumber Republicans—and Kotek's incumbency advantage, despite her narrow 2022 victory; a GOP surge would require unified turnout and swing voter shifts in the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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