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icon for «Оскар-2027»: лучший актер

«Оскар-2027»: лучший актер

icon for «Оскар-2027»: лучший актер

«Оскар-2027»: лучший актер

Том Круз 30%

Мэтт Дэймон 29%

Эндрю Скотт 18%

Джон Малкович 8%

Polymarket

$53,857 Объем

Том Круз 30%

Мэтт Дэймон 29%

Эндрю Скотт 18%

Джон Малкович 8%

Polymarket

$53,857 Объем

icon for Том Круз

Том Круз

$7,353 Объем

30%

icon for Мэтт Дэймон

Мэтт Дэймон

$23,402 Объем

29%

icon for Эндрю Скотт

Эндрю Скотт

$6,417 Объем

18%

icon for Джон Малкович

Джон Малкович

$880 Объем

8%

icon for Тимоти Шаламе

Тимоти Шаламе

$1,134 Объем

4%

icon for Себастиан Стэн

Себастиан Стэн

$649 Объем

4%

icon for Райан Гослинг

Райан Гослинг

$2,529 Объем

4%

icon for Роберт Арамио

Роберт Арамио

$762 Объем

2%

icon for Хавьер Бардем

Хавьер Бардем

$716 Объем

2%

icon for Джош О'Коннор

Джош О'Коннор

$759 Объем

2%

icon for Сэм Рокуэлл

Сэм Рокуэлл

$726 Объем

1%

icon for Педро Паскаль

Педро Паскаль

$751 Объем

1%

icon for Брэд Питт

Брэд Питт

$4,931 Объем

1%

icon for Джереми Стронг

Джереми Стронг

$763 Объем

1%

icon for Адам Драйвер

Адам Драйвер

$616 Объем

<1%

icon for Джон Туртурро

Джон Туртурро

$651 Объем

<1%

icon for Джаафар Джексон

Джаафар Джексон

$818 Объем

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early speculation around 2026 film releases is driving Polymarket trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor category, where Tom Cruise leads at a 30% implied probability followed closely by Matt Damon at 28.5% and Andrew Scott at 18%. The tight spread among frontrunners reflects the early stage of awards season, with limited precursor data and no dominant guild or critics' circuit results yet to separate contenders. Factors such as Cruise's and Damon's proven box office draw and past nominations create perceived momentum, while Scott benefits from recent critical attention; lower-odds names like Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling trail due to fewer confirmed 2026 vehicles positioning them as frontrunners. Traders are watching upcoming fall festival premieres and early reviews for momentum shifts ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$53,857
Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early speculation around 2026 film releases is driving Polymarket trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor category, where Tom Cruise leads at a 30% implied probability followed closely by Matt Damon at 28.5% and Andrew Scott at 18%. The tight spread among frontrunners reflects the early stage of awards season, with limited precursor data and no dominant guild or critics' circuit results yet to separate contenders. Factors such as Cruise's and Damon's proven box office draw and past nominations create perceived momentum, while Scott benefits from recent critical attention; lower-odds names like Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling trail due to fewer confirmed 2026 vehicles positioning them as frontrunners. Traders are watching upcoming fall festival premieres and early reviews for momentum shifts ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$53,857
Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

83%
icon for Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

54%
icon for Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

38%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

««Оскар-2027»: лучший актер» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Том Круз» с 30%, за ним следует «Мэтт Дэймон» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день ««Оскар-2027»: лучший актер» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $53.9K с момента запуска рынка Jul 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на ««Оскар-2027»: лучший актер», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для ««Оскар-2027»: лучший актер» — «Том Круз» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Мэтт Дэймон» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения ««Оскар-2027»: лучший актер» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.