Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven the market’s 70.5% implied probability, fueled by strong reviews from its Telluride premiere and her upcoming Golden Icon honor at Zurich. The film’s community-theater story and Moore’s five-time nominee status with a prior Best Actress win create a clear frontrunner narrative ahead of broader festival play. Inde Navarrette’s *Obsession* performance sits next in trader attention at lower odds, while names like Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira reflect early project buzz without matching momentum. With nominations still months away and guild precursors ahead, the consensus hinges on sustained critical and industry support through awards season.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучшая актриса
Julianne Moore 71%
Индэ Наварретт 13%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.1%
$137,689 Объем
$137,689 Объем

Julianne Moore
71%

Индэ Наварретт
13%

Renate Reinsve
9%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Virginie Efira
2%

Ruth Madeley
1%

Scarlett Johansson
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Michelle Williams
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%
Julianne Moore 71%
Индэ Наварретт 13%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.1%
$137,689 Объем
$137,689 Объем

Julianne Moore
71%

Индэ Наварретт
13%

Renate Reinsve
9%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Virginie Efira
2%

Ruth Madeley
1%

Scarlett Johansson
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Michelle Williams
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven the market’s 70.5% implied probability, fueled by strong reviews from its Telluride premiere and her upcoming Golden Icon honor at Zurich. The film’s community-theater story and Moore’s five-time nominee status with a prior Best Actress win create a clear frontrunner narrative ahead of broader festival play. Inde Navarrette’s *Obsession* performance sits next in trader attention at lower odds, while names like Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira reflect early project buzz without matching momentum. With nominations still months away and guild precursors ahead, the consensus hinges on sustained critical and industry support through awards season.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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