With the 2027 Oscars still far off and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, trader sentiment for Best Casting reflects early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases. The Odyssey leads at 42.5% implied probability on the strength of its reported scale and anticipated ensemble, while The Black Ball sits at 29.6% amid similar pre-release expectations. Titles such as UNABOMBER, Dune: Part Three, and Wild Horse Nine trail at single-digit odds, underscoring uncertainty over final cut, critical reception, and late-year release timing. In this wide-open market, momentum will likely shift once SAG-AFTRA nominations, PGA and DGA signals, and festival screenings provide clearer voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 28.5%
Wild Horse Nine 8.4%
UNABOMBER 8%
$11,427 Объем
$11,427 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
29%
Wild Horse Nine
8%
UNABOMBER
8%
Cry to Heaven
7%
Being Heumann
6%
Obsession
5%
Fjord
4%
Dune: Part Three
4%
Clarissa
4%
Digger
1%
Michael
1%
Saturn Return
<1%
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 28.5%
Wild Horse Nine 8.4%
UNABOMBER 8%
$11,427 Объем
$11,427 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
The Odyssey
$7,254 Объем
43%
The Black Ball
$614 Объем
29%
Wild Horse Nine
$386 Объем
8%
UNABOMBER
$343 Объем
8%
Cry to Heaven
$319 Объем
7%
Being Heumann
$270 Объем
6%
Obsession
$308 Объем
5%
Fjord
$320 Объем
4%
Dune: Part Three
$387 Объем
4%
Clarissa
$366 Объем
4%
Digger
$341 Объем
1%
Michael
$258 Объем
1%
Saturn Return
$261 Объем
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, trader sentiment for Best Casting reflects early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases. The Odyssey leads at 42.5% implied probability on the strength of its reported scale and anticipated ensemble, while The Black Ball sits at 29.6% amid similar pre-release expectations. Titles such as UNABOMBER, Dune: Part Three, and Wild Horse Nine trail at single-digit odds, underscoring uncertainty over final cut, critical reception, and late-year release timing. In this wide-open market, momentum will likely shift once SAG-AFTRA nominations, PGA and DGA signals, and festival screenings provide clearer voting patterns.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Объем
$11,427Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, trader sentiment for Best Casting reflects early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases. The Odyssey leads at 42.5% implied probability on the strength of its reported scale and anticipated ensemble, while The Black Ball sits at 29.6% amid similar pre-release expectations. Titles such as UNABOMBER, Dune: Part Three, and Wild Horse Nine trail at single-digit odds, underscoring uncertainty over final cut, critical reception, and late-year release timing. In this wide-open market, momentum will likely shift once SAG-AFTRA nominations, PGA and DGA signals, and festival screenings provide clearer voting patterns.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$11,427Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars still far off and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, trader sentiment for Best Casting reflects early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases. The Odyssey leads at 42.5% implied probability on the strength of its reported scale and anticipated ensemble, while The Black Ball sits at 29.6% amid similar pre-release expectations. Titles such as UNABOMBER, Dune: Part Three, and Wild Horse Nine trail at single-digit odds, underscoring uncertainty over final cut, critical reception, and late-year release timing. In this wide-open market, momentum will likely shift once SAG-AFTRA nominations, PGA and DGA signals, and festival screenings provide clearer voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы