With numerous 2026 releases still in post-production or early release, the market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for most contenders, underscoring the wide-open nature of the Best Visual Effects race at this stage. Dune: Part Three holds a narrow lead at 50.5%, supported by the franchise's proven track record in delivering complex, award-caliber visual work. Projects including Project Hail Mary (20.5%), The Odyssey (9.0%), and Godzilla Minus Zero (8.3%) trade lower, reflecting traders' assessment of varying production scales, technical ambition, and historical precedent for franchise or auteur-driven entries. Key upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops, VFX supervisor announcements, and fall 2026 premieres will likely sharpen differentiation as guild screenings and critical consensus develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: победитель в номинации «Лучшие визуальные эффекты»
«Оскар-2027»: победитель в номинации «Лучшие визуальные эффекты»
Дюна: Часть третья 51%
Проект «Аве Мария» 21%
Одиссея 9%
Годзилла Минус Один 8.3%
$14,596 Объем
$14,596 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Дюна: Часть третья
51%
Проект «Аве Мария»
21%
Одиссея
9%
Годзилла Минус Один
8%
Мстители: Судный день
5%
Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день
4%
Дюна: Часть третья 51%
Проект «Аве Мария» 21%
Одиссея 9%
Годзилла Минус Один 8.3%
$14,596 Объем
$14,596 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Дюна: Часть третья
$11,648 Объем
51%
Проект «Аве Мария»
$1,453 Объем
21%
Одиссея
$378 Объем
9%
Годзилла Минус Один
$413 Объем
8%
Мстители: Судный день
$423 Объем
5%
Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день
$282 Объем
4%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With numerous 2026 releases still in post-production or early release, the market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for most contenders, underscoring the wide-open nature of the Best Visual Effects race at this stage. Dune: Part Three holds a narrow lead at 50.5%, supported by the franchise's proven track record in delivering complex, award-caliber visual work. Projects including Project Hail Mary (20.5%), The Odyssey (9.0%), and Godzilla Minus Zero (8.3%) trade lower, reflecting traders' assessment of varying production scales, technical ambition, and historical precedent for franchise or auteur-driven entries. Key upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops, VFX supervisor announcements, and fall 2026 premieres will likely sharpen differentiation as guild screenings and critical consensus develop.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Объем
$14,596Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With numerous 2026 releases still in post-production or early release, the market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for most contenders, underscoring the wide-open nature of the Best Visual Effects race at this stage. Dune: Part Three holds a narrow lead at 50.5%, supported by the franchise's proven track record in delivering complex, award-caliber visual work. Projects including Project Hail Mary (20.5%), The Odyssey (9.0%), and Godzilla Minus Zero (8.3%) trade lower, reflecting traders' assessment of varying production scales, technical ambition, and historical precedent for franchise or auteur-driven entries. Key upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops, VFX supervisor announcements, and fall 2026 premieres will likely sharpen differentiation as guild screenings and critical consensus develop.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,596Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With numerous 2026 releases still in post-production or early release, the market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for most contenders, underscoring the wide-open nature of the Best Visual Effects race at this stage. Dune: Part Three holds a narrow lead at 50.5%, supported by the franchise's proven track record in delivering complex, award-caliber visual work. Projects including Project Hail Mary (20.5%), The Odyssey (9.0%), and Godzilla Minus Zero (8.3%) trade lower, reflecting traders' assessment of varying production scales, technical ambition, and historical precedent for franchise or auteur-driven entries. Key upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops, VFX supervisor announcements, and fall 2026 premieres will likely sharpen differentiation as guild screenings and critical consensus develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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