Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Марк Сатклифф 72%
Джефф Лайпер 22%
Нил Сараванамутту 1.9%
Алекс Лоусон <1%
$12,577 Объем
$12,577 Объем
Марк Сатклифф
72%
Джефф Лайпер
22%
Нил Сараванамутту
2%
Алекс Лоусон
1%
Кэтрин Маккенни
<1%
Марк Сатклифф 72%
Джефф Лайпер 22%
Нил Сараванамутту 1.9%
Алекс Лоусон <1%
$12,577 Объем
$12,577 Объем
Марк Сатклифф
72%
Джефф Лайпер
22%
Нил Сараванамутту
2%
Алекс Лоусон
1%
Кэтрин Маккенни
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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