Oura’s recent public S-1 filing, revealing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30, 2026—a 74% year-over-year increase alongside improved profitability—serves as the primary catalyst underpinning trader consensus for elevated closing market caps. This performance, driven by 5 million paid members, 85% retention rates, and high-margin recurring revenue, exceeds the company’s prior $11 billion private valuation from late 2025 and aligns with plans to raise up to $3 billion in a September Nasdaq listing targeting over $16 billion. Market-implied probabilities, with $20 billion-plus at 42.0% and the $17.5–20 billion bracket at 25.5%, reflect optimism around these fundamentals and a constructive IPO window, though execution risks and broader market conditions could still influence final pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$20B+ 42%
$17.5B–$20B 26%
$15B–$17.5B 21%
$12.5B–$15B 7%
$432,521 Объем
$432,521 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
3%
$12.5B–$15B
7%
$15B–$17.5B
21%
$17.5B–$20B
26%
$20B+
42%
No IPO before January 2027
<1%
$20B+ 42%
$17.5B–$20B 26%
$15B–$17.5B 21%
$12.5B–$15B 7%
$432,521 Объем
$432,521 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$7.5B
$59,586 Объем
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
$83,255 Объем
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
$72,561 Объем
3%
$12.5B–$15B
$78,494 Объем
7%
$15B–$17.5B
$46,840 Объем
21%
$17.5B–$20B
$35,329 Объем
26%
$20B+
$46,137 Объем
42%
No IPO before January 2027
$10,319 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s recent public S-1 filing, revealing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30, 2026—a 74% year-over-year increase alongside improved profitability—serves as the primary catalyst underpinning trader consensus for elevated closing market caps. This performance, driven by 5 million paid members, 85% retention rates, and high-margin recurring revenue, exceeds the company’s prior $11 billion private valuation from late 2025 and aligns with plans to raise up to $3 billion in a September Nasdaq listing targeting over $16 billion. Market-implied probabilities, with $20 billion-plus at 42.0% and the $17.5–20 billion bracket at 25.5%, reflect optimism around these fundamentals and a constructive IPO window, though execution risks and broader market conditions could still influence final pricing.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$432,521Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s recent public S-1 filing, revealing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30, 2026—a 74% year-over-year increase alongside improved profitability—serves as the primary catalyst underpinning trader consensus for elevated closing market caps. This performance, driven by 5 million paid members, 85% retention rates, and high-margin recurring revenue, exceeds the company’s prior $11 billion private valuation from late 2025 and aligns with plans to raise up to $3 billion in a September Nasdaq listing targeting over $16 billion. Market-implied probabilities, with $20 billion-plus at 42.0% and the $17.5–20 billion bracket at 25.5%, reflect optimism around these fundamentals and a constructive IPO window, though execution risks and broader market conditions could still influence final pricing.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$432,521Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s recent public S-1 filing, revealing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30, 2026—a 74% year-over-year increase alongside improved profitability—serves as the primary catalyst underpinning trader consensus for elevated closing market caps. This performance, driven by 5 million paid members, 85% retention rates, and high-margin recurring revenue, exceeds the company’s prior $11 billion private valuation from late 2025 and aligns with plans to raise up to $3 billion in a September Nasdaq listing targeting over $16 billion. Market-implied probabilities, with $20 billion-plus at 42.0% and the $17.5–20 billion bracket at 25.5%, reflect optimism around these fundamentals and a constructive IPO window, though execution risks and broader market conditions could still influence final pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли рыночная капитализация OpenAI составлять $1,5 трлн или больше к закрытию торгов в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
81%
Да
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
26%
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
96%
Да
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