Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Boyle has represented the area since 2015 and won his last general election with over 70 percent of the vote. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition, faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently favors Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with this baseline, as no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-02
$36,214 Объем
$36,214 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
3%
$36,214 Объем
$36,214 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,352 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$29,862 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Boyle has represented the area since 2015 and won his last general election with over 70 percent of the vote. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition, faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently favors Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with this baseline, as no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$36,214Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Boyle has represented the area since 2015 and won his last general election with over 70 percent of the vote. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition, faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently favors Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with this baseline, as no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,214Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Boyle has represented the area since 2015 and won his last general election with over 70 percent of the vote. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition, faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently favors Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with this baseline, as no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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