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icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10

icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10

НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Демократическая партия

$2,995 Объем

79%

Республиканская партия

$2,156 Объем

18%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Janelle Stelson holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Pennsylvania 10th congressional district race, reflecting the district's narrow 2024 margin and its status as one of the most competitive GOP-held seats. Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces a rematch against Stelson, who secured the Democratic nomination after winning her party's May 19 primary. The race features standard midterm dynamics in a district with mixed partisan performance in recent cycles, where opposition-party challengers often gain ground through targeted campaign spending and voter turnout efforts. Prediction markets price the seat well above even odds for Democrats, consistent with its toss-up or lean-Democratic positioning among forecasters and its history of close results. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late-cycle shifts reported in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$5,152
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Janelle Stelson holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Pennsylvania 10th congressional district race, reflecting the district's narrow 2024 margin and its status as one of the most competitive GOP-held seats. Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces a rematch against Stelson, who secured the Democratic nomination after winning her party's May 19 primary. The race features standard midterm dynamics in a district with mixed partisan performance in recent cycles, where opposition-party challengers often gain ground through targeted campaign spending and voter turnout efforts. Prediction markets price the seat well above even odds for Democrats, consistent with its toss-up or lean-Democratic positioning among forecasters and its history of close results. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late-cycle shifts reported in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$5,152
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NJ-10?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NJ-10?

96%
Да
icon for Одержит ли Демократическая партия победу на выборах в Палату представителей по округу VA-10?

Одержит ли Демократическая партия победу на выборах в Палату представителей по округу VA-10?

94%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NY-10?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NY-10?

97%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Демократическая партия» с 79%, за ним следует «Республиканская партия» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 79¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Dec 16, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10» — «Демократическая партия» с 79%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Республиканская партия» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.