Chen Chen-chung's position as the KMT-nominated candidate has consolidated trader expectations for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County Magistrate contest, with the party formally approving his candidacy in spring 2026 after internal polling. Incumbent Chen Kuang-fu of the DPP has signaled continued participation despite earlier health concerns, while an independent former KMT figure has entered the field, raising the prospect of vote fragmentation among non-DPP voters and keeping the contest competitive. These nomination and candidacy dynamics, occurring within Taiwan's local election cycle, account for Chen Chen-chung's lead in market pricing over lower-odds contenders such as Wu Shu-chin and Yeh Chu-lin. Further developments including candidate withdrawals, party coordination agreements, or shifts in local polling could alter implied probabilities before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Чэнь-чжун 59%
У Шу-чин 24%
Е Чу-лин 5.1%
Чжоу Ни-ань 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Чэнь-чжун
59%
У Шу-чин
24%
Е Чу-лин
9%
Чжоу Ни-ань
5%
Чэнь Цзинь-чюань
5%
Сюй Чжи-фу
4%
Чэнь Чэнь-чжун 59%
У Шу-чин 24%
Е Чу-лин 5.1%
Чжоу Ни-ань 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Чэнь-чжун
$1,367 Объем
59%
У Шу-чин
$1,133 Объем
24%
Е Чу-лин
$256 Объем
9%
Чжоу Ни-ань
$350 Объем
5%
Чэнь Цзинь-чюань
$199 Объем
5%
Сюй Чжи-фу
$744 Объем
4%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung's position as the KMT-nominated candidate has consolidated trader expectations for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County Magistrate contest, with the party formally approving his candidacy in spring 2026 after internal polling. Incumbent Chen Kuang-fu of the DPP has signaled continued participation despite earlier health concerns, while an independent former KMT figure has entered the field, raising the prospect of vote fragmentation among non-DPP voters and keeping the contest competitive. These nomination and candidacy dynamics, occurring within Taiwan's local election cycle, account for Chen Chen-chung's lead in market pricing over lower-odds contenders such as Wu Shu-chin and Yeh Chu-lin. Further developments including candidate withdrawals, party coordination agreements, or shifts in local polling could alter implied probabilities before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,048Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung's position as the KMT-nominated candidate has consolidated trader expectations for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County Magistrate contest, with the party formally approving his candidacy in spring 2026 after internal polling. Incumbent Chen Kuang-fu of the DPP has signaled continued participation despite earlier health concerns, while an independent former KMT figure has entered the field, raising the prospect of vote fragmentation among non-DPP voters and keeping the contest competitive. These nomination and candidacy dynamics, occurring within Taiwan's local election cycle, account for Chen Chen-chung's lead in market pricing over lower-odds contenders such as Wu Shu-chin and Yeh Chu-lin. Further developments including candidate withdrawals, party coordination agreements, or shifts in local polling could alter implied probabilities before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$4,048Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Chen-chung's position as the KMT-nominated candidate has consolidated trader expectations for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County Magistrate contest, with the party formally approving his candidacy in spring 2026 after internal polling. Incumbent Chen Kuang-fu of the DPP has signaled continued participation despite earlier health concerns, while an independent former KMT figure has entered the field, raising the prospect of vote fragmentation among non-DPP voters and keeping the contest competitive. These nomination and candidacy dynamics, occurring within Taiwan's local election cycle, account for Chen Chen-chung's lead in market pricing over lower-odds contenders such as Wu Shu-chin and Yeh Chu-lin. Further developments including candidate withdrawals, party coordination agreements, or shifts in local polling could alter implied probabilities before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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