Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for a Democratic victory. Shapiro secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and maintains double-digit leads in recent polling averages against Republican nominee and state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, who also advanced without primary opposition. Key factors include Shapiro's incumbency advantage, established statewide name recognition, and consistent support in battleground voter surveys heading into the November 3 general election. A Republican upset would likely require substantial shifts from late-cycle developments such as economic downturns, major candidate controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout in key regions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
$17,958 Объем
$17,958 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$17,958 Объем
$17,958 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democrat
$6,719 Объем
94%
Republican
$11,239 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for a Democratic victory. Shapiro secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and maintains double-digit leads in recent polling averages against Republican nominee and state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, who also advanced without primary opposition. Key factors include Shapiro's incumbency advantage, established statewide name recognition, and consistent support in battleground voter surveys heading into the November 3 general election. A Republican upset would likely require substantial shifts from late-cycle developments such as economic downturns, major candidate controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$17,958Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for a Democratic victory. Shapiro secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and maintains double-digit leads in recent polling averages against Republican nominee and state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, who also advanced without primary opposition. Key factors include Shapiro's incumbency advantage, established statewide name recognition, and consistent support in battleground voter surveys heading into the November 3 general election. A Republican upset would likely require substantial shifts from late-cycle developments such as economic downturns, major candidate controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$17,958Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for a Democratic victory. Shapiro secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and maintains double-digit leads in recent polling averages against Republican nominee and state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, who also advanced without primary opposition. Key factors include Shapiro's incumbency advantage, established statewide name recognition, and consistent support in battleground voter surveys heading into the November 3 general election. A Republican upset would likely require substantial shifts from late-cycle developments such as economic downturns, major candidate controversies, or unusually high opposition turnout in key regions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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