Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in consistent double-digit polling margins of 15-20 points across recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His strong job approval ratings near 60 percent, crossover support among independents, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s under $2 million have reinforced trader consensus. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of comfortably reelecting governors further supports the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter outcomes before the November 3 election, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Пенсильвании
Победитель выборов губернатора Пенсильвании
$49,101 Объем
$49,101 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
96%
Республиканец
3%
$49,101 Объем
$49,101 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$7,465 Объем
96%
Республиканец
$41,635 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in consistent double-digit polling margins of 15-20 points across recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His strong job approval ratings near 60 percent, crossover support among independents, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s under $2 million have reinforced trader consensus. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of comfortably reelecting governors further supports the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter outcomes before the November 3 election, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$49,101Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in consistent double-digit polling margins of 15-20 points across recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His strong job approval ratings near 60 percent, crossover support among independents, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s under $2 million have reinforced trader consensus. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of comfortably reelecting governors further supports the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter outcomes before the November 3 election, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$49,101Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in consistent double-digit polling margins of 15-20 points across recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His strong job approval ratings near 60 percent, crossover support among independents, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million compared to Republican challenger Stacy Garrity’s under $2 million have reinforced trader consensus. Pennsylvania’s historical pattern of comfortably reelecting governors further supports the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter outcomes before the November 3 election, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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