The Buffalo Bills hold a 6-1 record and the AFC East lead after Week 8, powering their 74% implied probability through an elite offense that ranks first in points per game and a favorable upcoming slate against weaker opponents. The New England Patriots sit at 5-3, 1.5 games back, with their 25% market share supported by a head-to-head tiebreaker from their earlier win and a resurgent performance under Mike Vrabel that has produced three straight division victories. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins, at 2-6 and 1-6, face near-elimination with minimal remaining upside in the standings. Recent results, including Buffalo’s dominant win over Baltimore and New England’s victory over Miami, have reinforced the gap between the top two clubs while leaving limited room for late swings in the race.
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