The 50% implied probability on Yes reflects trader consensus around a narrow balance between modern rule emphasis on passing volume and the longstanding rarity of the milestone. Several offenses enter 2026 with high-attempt QBs supported by strong receiving groups, including the Bengals around Joe Burrow, Cowboys with Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb, Lions featuring Jared Goff, and Rams with Matthew Stafford, all projected near or above 4,000 yards in recent models. Yet no quarterback exceeded 4,918 yards in 2024 or 4,707 in 2025, and full-season projections rarely clear the 294-yard-per-game pace required. Late roster adjustments, offensive line health, defensive improvements that reduce trailing scripts, or injuries to primary passers could shift the balance either direction before Week 1.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено50% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 янв. 2027 г.
50% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 янв. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records 5,000 or more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability on Yes reflects trader consensus around a narrow balance between modern rule emphasis on passing volume and the longstanding rarity of the milestone. Several offenses enter 2026 with high-attempt QBs supported by strong receiving groups, including the Bengals around Joe Burrow, Cowboys with Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb, Lions featuring Jared Goff, and Rams with Matthew Stafford, all projected near or above 4,000 yards in recent models. Yet no quarterback exceeded 4,918 yards in 2024 or 4,707 in 2025, and full-season projections rarely clear the 294-yard-per-game pace required. Late roster adjustments, offensive line health, defensive improvements that reduce trailing scripts, or injuries to primary passers could shift the balance either direction before Week 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records 5,000 or more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 4:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records 5,000 or more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability on Yes reflects trader consensus around a narrow balance between modern rule emphasis on passing volume and the longstanding rarity of the milestone. Several offenses enter 2026 with high-attempt QBs supported by strong receiving groups, including the Bengals around Joe Burrow, Cowboys with Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb, Lions featuring Jared Goff, and Rams with Matthew Stafford, all projected near or above 4,000 yards in recent models. Yet no quarterback exceeded 4,918 yards in 2024 or 4,707 in 2025, and full-season projections rarely clear the 294-yard-per-game pace required. Late roster adjustments, offensive line health, defensive improvements that reduce trailing scripts, or injuries to primary passers could shift the balance either direction before Week 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records 5,000 or more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 4:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The 50% implied probability on Yes reflects trader consensus around a narrow balance between modern rule emphasis on passing volume and the longstanding rarity of the milestone. Several offenses enter 2026 with high-attempt QBs supported by strong receiving groups, including the Bengals around Joe Burrow, Cowboys with Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb, Lions featuring Jared Goff, and Rams with Matthew Stafford, all projected near or above 4,000 yards in recent models. Yet no quarterback exceeded 4,918 yards in 2024 or 4,707 in 2025, and full-season projections rarely clear the 294-yard-per-game pace required. Late roster adjustments, offensive line health, defensive improvements that reduce trailing scripts, or injuries to primary passers could shift the balance either direction before Week 1.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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