The 28 rushing touchdowns LaDainian Tomlinson posted in 2006 remain the single-season benchmark, and recent form underscores the barrier. Consensus projections for 2026 place top backs such as Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, Jonathan Taylor, and Bijan Robinson in the 12–14 touchdown range, reflecting typical committee workloads, pass-oriented schemes, and injury histories that limit goal-line volume. No active player has approached 20 rushing scores in a season since the early 2010s, and 17-game schedules plus defensive emphasis on the run continue to cap individual totals. Trader pricing for “No” at 55 percent therefore aligns with the sustained gap between projected production and the record.