**The current 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the extreme rarity of any player reaching 24 sacks in a 17-game NFL season, even after Myles Garrett set the record at 23 in 2025.** Only a handful of edge rushers have ever hit 20+ sacks in a season, with the pre-2025 benchmark at 22.5. Garrett’s outlier campaign—driven by elite pass-rush win rate, favorable matchups, and volume—stands as the lone instance above 22.5 in the official era. Entering 2026, Garrett (now with the Rams) and other top pass rushers such as Aidan Hutchinson, Will Anderson Jr., Danielle Hunter, and T.J. Watt face typical constraints: double-teams, offensive-line improvements, scheme adjustments, and the high variance of sack totals. Statistical projections for the league leader center in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with historical norms around 17–18 sacks. Injury risk, snap counts, and the difficulty of sustaining record pace over a full season further support trader consensus that another 23-plus performance is unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено11% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 янв. 2027 г.
11% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 янв. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 sacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season sacks record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season sacks record is 23, set by Myles Garrett in 2025. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 sacks for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. Half sacks count as 0.5 toward a player's total, per official NFL scoring. Sacks have been an official NFL statistic since 1982.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 sacks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The current 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the extreme rarity of any player reaching 24 sacks in a 17-game NFL season, even after Myles Garrett set the record at 23 in 2025.**
Only a handful of edge rushers have ever hit 20+ sacks in a season, with the pre-2025 benchmark at 22.5. Garrett’s outlier campaign—driven by elite pass-rush win rate, favorable matchups, and volume—stands as the lone instance above 22.5 in the official era.
Entering 2026, Garrett (now with the Rams) and other top pass rushers such as Aidan Hutchinson, Will Anderson Jr., Danielle Hunter, and T.J. Watt face typical constraints: double-teams, offensive-line improvements, scheme adjustments, and the high variance of sack totals. Statistical projections for the league leader center in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with historical norms around 17–18 sacks.
Injury risk, snap counts, and the difficulty of sustaining record pace over a full season further support trader consensus that another 23-plus performance is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 sacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season sacks record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season sacks record is 23, set by Myles Garrett in 2025. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 sacks for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. Half sacks count as 0.5 toward a player's total, per official NFL scoring. Sacks have been an official NFL statistic since 1982.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 sacks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season sacks record is 23, set by Myles Garrett in 2025. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 sacks for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. Half sacks count as 0.5 toward a player's total, per official NFL scoring. Sacks have been an official NFL statistic since 1982.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 sacks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 4:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 sacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season sacks record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season sacks record is 23, set by Myles Garrett in 2025. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 sacks for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. Half sacks count as 0.5 toward a player's total, per official NFL scoring. Sacks have been an official NFL statistic since 1982.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 sacks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The current 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the extreme rarity of any player reaching 24 sacks in a 17-game NFL season, even after Myles Garrett set the record at 23 in 2025.**
Only a handful of edge rushers have ever hit 20+ sacks in a season, with the pre-2025 benchmark at 22.5. Garrett’s outlier campaign—driven by elite pass-rush win rate, favorable matchups, and volume—stands as the lone instance above 22.5 in the official era.
Entering 2026, Garrett (now with the Rams) and other top pass rushers such as Aidan Hutchinson, Will Anderson Jr., Danielle Hunter, and T.J. Watt face typical constraints: double-teams, offensive-line improvements, scheme adjustments, and the high variance of sack totals. Statistical projections for the league leader center in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with historical norms around 17–18 sacks.
Injury risk, snap counts, and the difficulty of sustaining record pace over a full season further support trader consensus that another 23-plus performance is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 sacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season sacks record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season sacks record is 23, set by Myles Garrett in 2025. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 sacks for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. Half sacks count as 0.5 toward a player's total, per official NFL scoring. Sacks have been an official NFL statistic since 1982.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 sacks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season sacks record is 23, set by Myles Garrett in 2025. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 sacks for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. Half sacks count as 0.5 toward a player's total, per official NFL scoring. Sacks have been an official NFL statistic since 1982.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 sacks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 4:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**The current 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the extreme rarity of any player reaching 24 sacks in a 17-game NFL season, even after Myles Garrett set the record at 23 in 2025.** Only a handful of edge rushers have ever hit 20+ sacks in a season, with the pre-2025 benchmark at 22.5. Garrett’s outlier campaign—driven by elite pass-rush win rate, favorable matchups, and volume—stands as the lone instance above 22.5 in the official era. Entering 2026, Garrett (now with the Rams) and other top pass rushers such as Aidan Hutchinson, Will Anderson Jr., Danielle Hunter, and T.J. Watt face typical constraints: double-teams, offensive-line improvements, scheme adjustments, and the high variance of sack totals. Statistical projections for the league leader center in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with historical norms around 17–18 sacks. Injury risk, snap counts, and the difficulty of sustaining record pace over a full season further support trader consensus that another 23-plus performance is unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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