Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voting index, combined with his incumbency and unopposed primary victory. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Victor Mellor’s Republican primary win on September 9 has drawn scrutiny over his participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events and foreign agent registration, prompting Democratic attacks that have reinforced trader views of limited general-election viability. A major shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
RI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$47,123 Объем
$47,123 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сет Магазинер (Д)
96%
Виктор Меллор (Р)
2%
$47,123 Объем
$47,123 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сет Магазинер (Д)
$19,005 Объем
96%
Виктор Меллор (Р)
$28,118 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voting index, combined with his incumbency and unopposed primary victory. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Victor Mellor’s Republican primary win on September 9 has drawn scrutiny over his participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events and foreign agent registration, prompting Democratic attacks that have reinforced trader views of limited general-election viability. A major shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$47,123Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voting index, combined with his incumbency and unopposed primary victory. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Victor Mellor’s Republican primary win on September 9 has drawn scrutiny over his participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events and foreign agent registration, prompting Democratic attacks that have reinforced trader views of limited general-election viability. A major shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$47,123Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+4 partisan voting index, combined with his incumbency and unopposed primary victory. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Victor Mellor’s Republican primary win on September 9 has drawn scrutiny over his participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events and foreign agent registration, prompting Democratic attacks that have reinforced trader views of limited general-election viability. A major shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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