Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential margins and consistent “Safe D” or “Solid D” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 Democratic primary, while Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination after defeating Stephen Skoly. Mellor’s heavy self-funding and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, amplifying scrutiny on the challenger. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district’s partisan baseline makes such changes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
RI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$46,516 Объем
$46,516 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сет Магазинер (Д)
97%
Виктор Меллор (Р)
1%
$46,516 Объем
$46,516 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сет Магазинер (Д)
$19,005 Объем
97%
Виктор Меллор (Р)
$27,511 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential margins and consistent “Safe D” or “Solid D” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 Democratic primary, while Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination after defeating Stephen Skoly. Mellor’s heavy self-funding and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, amplifying scrutiny on the challenger. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district’s partisan baseline makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$46,516Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential margins and consistent “Safe D” or “Solid D” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 Democratic primary, while Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination after defeating Stephen Skoly. Mellor’s heavy self-funding and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, amplifying scrutiny on the challenger. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district’s partisan baseline makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$46,516Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential margins and consistent “Safe D” or “Solid D” ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 Democratic primary, while Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination after defeating Stephen Skoly. Mellor’s heavy self-funding and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, amplifying scrutiny on the challenger. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district’s partisan baseline makes such changes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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