The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race features a fragmented field with no candidate commanding majority support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls show Cadu de Lula (PT) holding a modest lead in vote intention, followed closely by Álvaro Dias (PL) and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), with Professor Roberio Paulino (PSOL) and others trailing but remaining relevant in multi-candidate scenarios. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices highlights this uncertainty, as no single contender has consolidated backing from key regional bases or secured decisive endorsements. Developments that could shift probabilities include upcoming debates, shifts in coalition alignments, turnout patterns among undecided voters, or late campaign events that clarify second-round pairings. The race remains open given the state’s history of competitive runoffs when no first-round majority emerges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКаду де Лула 36%
Альваро Диас 25%
Профессор Роберио Паулино 22%
Родриго Болсонару 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Каду де Лула
49%
Альваро Диас
25%
Профессор Роберио Паулино
22%
Родриго Болсонару
18%
Аллисон
18%
Ариналда до МЛБ
18%
Карлос Жарарака
17%
Дариу Барбоза
17%
Энрике Лира
19%
Каду де Лула 36%
Альваро Диас 25%
Профессор Роберио Паулино 22%
Родриго Болсонару 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Каду де Лула
$70 Объем
49%
Альваро Диас
$10 Объем
25%
Профессор Роберио Паулино
$69 Объем
22%
Родриго Болсонару
$77 Объем
18%
Аллисон
$29 Объем
18%
Ариналда до МЛБ
$55 Объем
18%
Карлос Жарарака
$58 Объем
17%
Дариу Барбоза
$77 Объем
17%
Энрике Лира
$81 Объем
19%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race features a fragmented field with no candidate commanding majority support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls show Cadu de Lula (PT) holding a modest lead in vote intention, followed closely by Álvaro Dias (PL) and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), with Professor Roberio Paulino (PSOL) and others trailing but remaining relevant in multi-candidate scenarios. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices highlights this uncertainty, as no single contender has consolidated backing from key regional bases or secured decisive endorsements. Developments that could shift probabilities include upcoming debates, shifts in coalition alignments, turnout patterns among undecided voters, or late campaign events that clarify second-round pairings. The race remains open given the state’s history of competitive runoffs when no first-round majority emerges.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Объем
$526Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race features a fragmented field with no candidate commanding majority support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls show Cadu de Lula (PT) holding a modest lead in vote intention, followed closely by Álvaro Dias (PL) and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), with Professor Roberio Paulino (PSOL) and others trailing but remaining relevant in multi-candidate scenarios. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices highlights this uncertainty, as no single contender has consolidated backing from key regional bases or secured decisive endorsements. Developments that could shift probabilities include upcoming debates, shifts in coalition alignments, turnout patterns among undecided voters, or late campaign events that clarify second-round pairings. The race remains open given the state’s history of competitive runoffs when no first-round majority emerges.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$526Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race features a fragmented field with no candidate commanding majority support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls show Cadu de Lula (PT) holding a modest lead in vote intention, followed closely by Álvaro Dias (PL) and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), with Professor Roberio Paulino (PSOL) and others trailing but remaining relevant in multi-candidate scenarios. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices highlights this uncertainty, as no single contender has consolidated backing from key regional bases or secured decisive endorsements. Developments that could shift probabilities include upcoming debates, shifts in coalition alignments, turnout patterns among undecided voters, or late campaign events that clarify second-round pairings. The race remains open given the state’s history of competitive runoffs when no first-round majority emerges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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