Putin’s regime demonstrated continued dominance through the September 2026 parliamentary elections, where United Russia secured a supermajority with roughly 58 percent of the vote amid controlled opposition and high turnout framed as endorsement of the war effort. Security agencies remain under loyal siloviki appointees, and the elimination of prior challenges such as the 2023 Prigozhin mutiny has reinforced elite alignment. Repression, surveillance, and economic dependence on state structures deter organized dissent, while recent analyses from stability trackers note that insider coups or mass protests remain far-fetched absent a sudden crisis. Trader consensus on no coup attempt reflects these structural controls, though low-probability shifts could arise from battlefield reversals, sharp economic contraction, or leadership health events in the remaining months of 2026.