United Russia maintains overwhelming frontrunner status in the September 2026 State Duma elections as Russia's dominant ruling party, entering with a large constitutional majority of seats and benefiting from structural advantages including institutional control, candidate registration processes, and alignment with Kremlin priorities. Recent leadership restructuring placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list, while 2025 regional contests reinforced its position through affiliated victories amid limited competition. Other registered parties including the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People hold marginal current representation and face barriers to broader mobilization. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen shifts in elite dynamics, turnout patterns, or external events within the final weeks before the three-day vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕдиная Россия (ЕР) 98.4%
Яблоко <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
$3,158,327 Объем
$3,158,327 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
98%
Яблоко
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 98.4%
Яблоко <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
$3,158,327 Объем
$3,158,327 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$791,030 Объем
98%
Яблоко
$29,948 Объем
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$202,544 Объем
<1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$159,117 Объем
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$134,643 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$734,931 Объем
<1%
Родина
$502,708 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$603,407 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming frontrunner status in the September 2026 State Duma elections as Russia's dominant ruling party, entering with a large constitutional majority of seats and benefiting from structural advantages including institutional control, candidate registration processes, and alignment with Kremlin priorities. Recent leadership restructuring placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list, while 2025 regional contests reinforced its position through affiliated victories amid limited competition. Other registered parties including the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People hold marginal current representation and face barriers to broader mobilization. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen shifts in elite dynamics, turnout patterns, or external events within the final weeks before the three-day vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$3,158,327Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming frontrunner status in the September 2026 State Duma elections as Russia's dominant ruling party, entering with a large constitutional majority of seats and benefiting from structural advantages including institutional control, candidate registration processes, and alignment with Kremlin priorities. Recent leadership restructuring placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list, while 2025 regional contests reinforced its position through affiliated victories amid limited competition. Other registered parties including the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People hold marginal current representation and face barriers to broader mobilization. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen shifts in elite dynamics, turnout patterns, or external events within the final weeks before the three-day vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$3,158,327Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming frontrunner status in the September 2026 State Duma elections as Russia's dominant ruling party, entering with a large constitutional majority of seats and benefiting from structural advantages including institutional control, candidate registration processes, and alignment with Kremlin priorities. Recent leadership restructuring placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list, while 2025 regional contests reinforced its position through affiliated victories amid limited competition. Other registered parties including the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People hold marginal current representation and face barriers to broader mobilization. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen shifts in elite dynamics, turnout patterns, or external events within the final weeks before the three-day vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
Получит ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу?
72%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы