United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, which benefits from extensive state institutional control, favorable media access, and ongoing wartime nationalist sentiment that bolsters support for the party of power. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside key figures, while registered opposition parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and New People face structural limits on campaigning and candidate registration. The three-day voting format across 450 seats, including in occupied territories, further reinforces the incumbent advantage observed in prior regional contests. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain narrow and include abrupt escalations or de-escalations in the Ukraine conflict, major elite shifts, or unexpected health events affecting top leadership, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕдиная Россия (ЕР) 98.3%
Яблоко <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
$3,162,963 Объем
$3,162,963 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
98%
Яблоко
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 98.3%
Яблоко <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
$3,162,963 Объем
$3,162,963 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$792,127 Объем
98%
Яблоко
$30,760 Объем
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$203,612 Объем
<1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$159,571 Объем
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$135,069 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$735,710 Объем
<1%
Родина
$502,708 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$603,407 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, which benefits from extensive state institutional control, favorable media access, and ongoing wartime nationalist sentiment that bolsters support for the party of power. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside key figures, while registered opposition parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and New People face structural limits on campaigning and candidate registration. The three-day voting format across 450 seats, including in occupied territories, further reinforces the incumbent advantage observed in prior regional contests. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain narrow and include abrupt escalations or de-escalations in the Ukraine conflict, major elite shifts, or unexpected health events affecting top leadership, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$3,162,963Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, which benefits from extensive state institutional control, favorable media access, and ongoing wartime nationalist sentiment that bolsters support for the party of power. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside key figures, while registered opposition parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and New People face structural limits on campaigning and candidate registration. The three-day voting format across 450 seats, including in occupied territories, further reinforces the incumbent advantage observed in prior regional contests. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain narrow and include abrupt escalations or de-escalations in the Ukraine conflict, major elite shifts, or unexpected health events affecting top leadership, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$3,162,963Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, which benefits from extensive state institutional control, favorable media access, and ongoing wartime nationalist sentiment that bolsters support for the party of power. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside key figures, while registered opposition parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and New People face structural limits on campaigning and candidate registration. The three-day voting format across 450 seats, including in occupied territories, further reinforces the incumbent advantage observed in prior regional contests. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain narrow and include abrupt escalations or de-escalations in the Ukraine conflict, major elite shifts, or unexpected health events affecting top leadership, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
Получит ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу?
74%
Да
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