The Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, introduced as H.R. 22 in the 119th Congress, passed the House in April 2025 and again in a revised form in February 2026, yet every Senate effort to advance it or attach its provisions to must-pass measures has fallen short of the 60 votes needed for cloture. Multiple floor votes and amendment attempts through September 2026 produced maximum support of 53 votes, with Senate leadership deferring further consideration amid competing priorities and the November 3 midterms. Trader consensus at 95.6% against enactment in 2026 reflects these repeated procedural barriers and the short remaining calendar window. Limited paths forward include a post-election lame-duck session breakthrough via rule changes or unexpected bipartisan compromise, though both remain improbable given current vote patterns and institutional timelines.