Despite passing the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 party-line vote, H.R. 22—the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration—has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, remaining stalled in committee over a year later. Democratic opposition, framing the bill as a barrier to voting for citizens lacking readily available documents like passports or birth certificates, blocks progress amid the filibuster's 60-vote threshold. With the 119th Congress nearing its January 2027 end and no scheduled hearings, cloture votes, or discharge petitions, traders price a 91% implied probability against enactment in 2026, viewing procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock as insurmountable absent a major shift like bipartisan compromise or leadership pressure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$165,816 Объем
$165,816 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$165,816 Объем
$165,816 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite passing the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 party-line vote, H.R. 22—the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration—has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, remaining stalled in committee over a year later. Democratic opposition, framing the bill as a barrier to voting for citizens lacking readily available documents like passports or birth certificates, blocks progress amid the filibuster's 60-vote threshold. With the 119th Congress nearing its January 2027 end and no scheduled hearings, cloture votes, or discharge petitions, traders price a 91% implied probability against enactment in 2026, viewing procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock as insurmountable absent a major shift like bipartisan compromise or leadership pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Объем
$165,816Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite passing the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 party-line vote, H.R. 22—the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration—has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, remaining stalled in committee over a year later. Democratic opposition, framing the bill as a barrier to voting for citizens lacking readily available documents like passports or birth certificates, blocks progress amid the filibuster's 60-vote threshold. With the 119th Congress nearing its January 2027 end and no scheduled hearings, cloture votes, or discharge petitions, traders price a 91% implied probability against enactment in 2026, viewing procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock as insurmountable absent a major shift like bipartisan compromise or leadership pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$165,816Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite passing the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 party-line vote, H.R. 22—the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration—has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, remaining stalled in committee over a year later. Democratic opposition, framing the bill as a barrier to voting for citizens lacking readily available documents like passports or birth certificates, blocks progress amid the filibuster's 60-vote threshold. With the 119th Congress nearing its January 2027 end and no scheduled hearings, cloture votes, or discharge petitions, traders price a 91% implied probability against enactment in 2026, viewing procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock as insurmountable absent a major shift like bipartisan compromise or leadership pressure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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