Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% to win South Dakota's at-large Democratic primary on June 2, driven by rival Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal after a brief challenge, leaving her as the clear frontrunner with strong party backing and credentials as former USDA Rural Development state director. Scott Schlagel trails far behind at 2%, reflecting minimal campaign momentum in this low-turnout primary for a Republican-leaning district. Gronli's recent media appearances on farm policy, tariffs, and rural issues have reinforced her position without sparking competition. Scenarios to upend this include a late write-in surge, her disqualification, or health issues, though filing deadlines and historical unopposed Democratic nods make shifts unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель демократического праймериз SD-AL
Победитель демократического праймериз SD-AL
Nikki Gronli 96.0%
Billy Mawhiney 2.4%
Scott Schlagel 1.9%
$11,376 Объем
$11,376 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Nikki Gronli
96%
Billy Mawhiney
2%
Scott Schlagel
2%
Nikki Gronli 96.0%
Billy Mawhiney 2.4%
Scott Schlagel 1.9%
$11,376 Объем
$11,376 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Nikki Gronli
$2,014 Объем
96%
Billy Mawhiney
$4,404 Объем
2%
Scott Schlagel
$4,959 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% to win South Dakota's at-large Democratic primary on June 2, driven by rival Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal after a brief challenge, leaving her as the clear frontrunner with strong party backing and credentials as former USDA Rural Development state director. Scott Schlagel trails far behind at 2%, reflecting minimal campaign momentum in this low-turnout primary for a Republican-leaning district. Gronli's recent media appearances on farm policy, tariffs, and rural issues have reinforced her position without sparking competition. Scenarios to upend this include a late write-in surge, her disqualification, or health issues, though filing deadlines and historical unopposed Democratic nods make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Объем
$11,376Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% to win South Dakota's at-large Democratic primary on June 2, driven by rival Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal after a brief challenge, leaving her as the clear frontrunner with strong party backing and credentials as former USDA Rural Development state director. Scott Schlagel trails far behind at 2%, reflecting minimal campaign momentum in this low-turnout primary for a Republican-leaning district. Gronli's recent media appearances on farm policy, tariffs, and rural issues have reinforced her position without sparking competition. Scenarios to upend this include a late write-in surge, her disqualification, or health issues, though filing deadlines and historical unopposed Democratic nods make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$11,376Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% to win South Dakota's at-large Democratic primary on June 2, driven by rival Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal after a brief challenge, leaving her as the clear frontrunner with strong party backing and credentials as former USDA Rural Development state director. Scott Schlagel trails far behind at 2%, reflecting minimal campaign momentum in this low-turnout primary for a Republican-leaning district. Gronli's recent media appearances on farm policy, tariffs, and rural issues have reinforced her position without sparking competition. Scenarios to upend this include a late write-in surge, her disqualification, or health issues, though filing deadlines and historical unopposed Democratic nods make shifts unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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