The May 2026 resignation of incumbent Sinaloa governor Rubén Rocha Moya following U.S. drug-trafficking charges tied to the Sinaloa Cartel has left the 2027 race wide open, with no dominant candidate emerging. Morena maintains a polling lead near 38 percent, yet support fragments across numerous aspirants including Estrella Palacios Domínguez, Paloma Sánchez Ramos, Imelda Castro Castro, and María Teresa Guerra Ochoa. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the highest-probability names clustered in the low-to-mid 30s and the field remaining fluid ahead of party nominations. Key upcoming catalysts include internal Morena selection processes and any further legal or security developments that could shift coalition alignments or voter priorities in the state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez 38%
Mario Zamora Gastélum 38%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández 34%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos 32%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
38%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
38%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
34%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
32%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
30%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
30%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
28%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
26%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
26%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
25%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

María Fernanda Rivera
25%

Sergio Torres Félix
14%

Omar López Campos
12%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
11%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
10%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
6%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
6%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
6%

Imelda Castro Castro
-

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
33%
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez 38%
Mario Zamora Gastélum 38%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández 34%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos 32%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
38%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
38%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
34%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
32%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
30%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
30%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
28%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
26%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
26%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
25%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

María Fernanda Rivera
25%

Sergio Torres Félix
14%

Omar López Campos
12%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
11%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
10%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
6%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
6%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
6%

Imelda Castro Castro
-

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
33%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 2026 resignation of incumbent Sinaloa governor Rubén Rocha Moya following U.S. drug-trafficking charges tied to the Sinaloa Cartel has left the 2027 race wide open, with no dominant candidate emerging. Morena maintains a polling lead near 38 percent, yet support fragments across numerous aspirants including Estrella Palacios Domínguez, Paloma Sánchez Ramos, Imelda Castro Castro, and María Teresa Guerra Ochoa. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the highest-probability names clustered in the low-to-mid 30s and the field remaining fluid ahead of party nominations. Key upcoming catalysts include internal Morena selection processes and any further legal or security developments that could shift coalition alignments or voter priorities in the state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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