Wesley So holds the sole lead at 3.5/5 after five rounds of the nine-round classical round-robin, supporting his 42% implied probability in the Sinquefield Cup winner market. Four players—Fabiano Caruana, Vincent Keymer, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave, and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu—sit just half a point back on 3/5 following decisive results in round five, where So defeated Caruana while Keymer and Caruana secured victories. With four rounds remaining after the rest day, this narrow gap and the high-level field sustain a tight race, reflected in the clustered probabilities for the chasers and the substantial share assigned to other outcomes. Recent form, pairwise matchups, and the single round-robin format continue to shape trader consensus on potential catch-up scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWesley So 42%
Fabiano Caruana 18%
Vincent Keymer 13%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave 10.3%
$58,010 Объем
$58,010 Объем
Wesley So
42%
Fabiano Caruana
18%
Vincent Keymer
13%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Levon Aronian
2%
Самуэль Севян
1%
Javokhir Sindarov
1%
Anish Giri
<1%
Jorden Van Foreest
<1%
Wesley So 42%
Fabiano Caruana 18%
Vincent Keymer 13%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave 10.3%
$58,010 Объем
$58,010 Объем
Wesley So
42%
Fabiano Caruana
18%
Vincent Keymer
13%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Levon Aronian
2%
Самуэль Севян
1%
Javokhir Sindarov
1%
Anish Giri
<1%
Jorden Van Foreest
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wesley So holds the sole lead at 3.5/5 after five rounds of the nine-round classical round-robin, supporting his 42% implied probability in the Sinquefield Cup winner market. Four players—Fabiano Caruana, Vincent Keymer, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave, and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu—sit just half a point back on 3/5 following decisive results in round five, where So defeated Caruana while Keymer and Caruana secured victories. With four rounds remaining after the rest day, this narrow gap and the high-level field sustain a tight race, reflected in the clustered probabilities for the chasers and the substantial share assigned to other outcomes. Recent form, pairwise matchups, and the single round-robin format continue to shape trader consensus on potential catch-up scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы