The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives, shifting the mandate from mid-2026 into 2028, underpins trader consensus that no parliamentary election will occur before 2027. Official justifications center on security challenges in eastern regions including Sool and Sanaag, persistent drought, and related logistical hurdles cited by the National Electoral Commission. This builds on Somaliland’s pattern of mandate extensions ahead of scheduled votes for the three national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—following the 2021 results and the 2024–2025 presidential transition. While the timeline appears firm, an accelerated agreement among political actors, improved security enabling earlier preparations, or shifts in Guurti positioning could still alter the outcome within the market resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Победитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 95%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) 3.0%
Ваддани 2.9%
Кулмийе 2.2%
$94,834 Объем
$94,834 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
95%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
3%
Ваддани
3%
Кулмийе
2%
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 95%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) 3.0%
Ваддани 2.9%
Кулмийе 2.2%
$94,834 Объем
$94,834 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
$84,975 Объем
95%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
$4,279 Объем
3%
Ваддани
$2,522 Объем
3%
Кулмийе
$3,058 Объем
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives, shifting the mandate from mid-2026 into 2028, underpins trader consensus that no parliamentary election will occur before 2027. Official justifications center on security challenges in eastern regions including Sool and Sanaag, persistent drought, and related logistical hurdles cited by the National Electoral Commission. This builds on Somaliland’s pattern of mandate extensions ahead of scheduled votes for the three national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—following the 2021 results and the 2024–2025 presidential transition. While the timeline appears firm, an accelerated agreement among political actors, improved security enabling earlier preparations, or shifts in Guurti positioning could still alter the outcome within the market resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Объем
$94,834Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives, shifting the mandate from mid-2026 into 2028, underpins trader consensus that no parliamentary election will occur before 2027. Official justifications center on security challenges in eastern regions including Sool and Sanaag, persistent drought, and related logistical hurdles cited by the National Electoral Commission. This builds on Somaliland’s pattern of mandate extensions ahead of scheduled votes for the three national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—following the 2021 results and the 2024–2025 presidential transition. While the timeline appears firm, an accelerated agreement among political actors, improved security enabling earlier preparations, or shifts in Guurti positioning could still alter the outcome within the market resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Объем
$94,834Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives, shifting the mandate from mid-2026 into 2028, underpins trader consensus that no parliamentary election will occur before 2027. Official justifications center on security challenges in eastern regions including Sool and Sanaag, persistent drought, and related logistical hurdles cited by the National Electoral Commission. This builds on Somaliland’s pattern of mandate extensions ahead of scheduled votes for the three national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—following the 2021 results and the 2024–2025 presidential transition. While the timeline appears firm, an accelerated agreement among political actors, improved security enabling earlier preparations, or shifts in Guurti positioning could still alter the outcome within the market resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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