Janet Gatehouse, the incumbent mayor since her 2024 by-election victory, holds the narrowest edge in trader consensus for the upcoming Sorell ordinary election, consistent with her established record on council priorities including growth planning and community engagement. Multiple candidates, including Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miró Quesada Le Roux, compete on overlapping local themes such as rates, transparency, and infrastructure, contributing to the fragmented field and tight implied probabilities. No decisive recent shifts have emerged from council activities or candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote, leaving room for late campaign developments or preference flows to influence the outcome under Tasmania's local government electoral system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжанет Гейтхаус 49%
Кристиан Хорват 15%
Марисоль Миро Кесада Ле Ру 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
Джанет Гейтхаус
49%
Кристиан Хорват
15%
Марисоль Миро Кесада Ле Ру
6%
Джанет Гейтхаус 49%
Кристиан Хорват 15%
Марисоль Миро Кесада Ле Ру 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
Джанет Гейтхаус
$1,063 Объем
49%
Кристиан Хорват
$614 Объем
15%
Марисоль Миро Кесада Ле Ру
$266 Объем
6%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse, the incumbent mayor since her 2024 by-election victory, holds the narrowest edge in trader consensus for the upcoming Sorell ordinary election, consistent with her established record on council priorities including growth planning and community engagement. Multiple candidates, including Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miró Quesada Le Roux, compete on overlapping local themes such as rates, transparency, and infrastructure, contributing to the fragmented field and tight implied probabilities. No decisive recent shifts have emerged from council activities or candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote, leaving room for late campaign developments or preference flows to influence the outcome under Tasmania's local government electoral system.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Объем
$1,943Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse, the incumbent mayor since her 2024 by-election victory, holds the narrowest edge in trader consensus for the upcoming Sorell ordinary election, consistent with her established record on council priorities including growth planning and community engagement. Multiple candidates, including Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miró Quesada Le Roux, compete on overlapping local themes such as rates, transparency, and infrastructure, contributing to the fragmented field and tight implied probabilities. No decisive recent shifts have emerged from council activities or candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote, leaving room for late campaign developments or preference flows to influence the outcome under Tasmania's local government electoral system.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$1,943Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Janet Gatehouse, the incumbent mayor since her 2024 by-election victory, holds the narrowest edge in trader consensus for the upcoming Sorell ordinary election, consistent with her established record on council priorities including growth planning and community engagement. Multiple candidates, including Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miró Quesada Le Roux, compete on overlapping local themes such as rates, transparency, and infrastructure, contributing to the fragmented field and tight implied probabilities. No decisive recent shifts have emerged from council activities or candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote, leaving room for late campaign developments or preference flows to influence the outcome under Tasmania's local government electoral system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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