Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured his party's nomination with over 75 percent in the June primary and now faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3 general election in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 2008. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in early August further consolidated the Republican position, leaving an independent candidate with minimal statewide infrastructure or polling support. Traders price the outcome at 94 percent Republican because South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns, Rounds' established incumbency advantages, and the absence of competitive challengers have historically produced large margins. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current trajectory before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Южной Дакоты
Победитель выборов в Сенат Южной Дакоты
$10,184 Объем
$10,184 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
94%
Демократ
3%
$10,184 Объем
$10,184 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$5,711 Объем
94%
Демократ
$4,473 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured his party's nomination with over 75 percent in the June primary and now faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3 general election in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 2008. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in early August further consolidated the Republican position, leaving an independent candidate with minimal statewide infrastructure or polling support. Traders price the outcome at 94 percent Republican because South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns, Rounds' established incumbency advantages, and the absence of competitive challengers have historically produced large margins. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$10,184Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured his party's nomination with over 75 percent in the June primary and now faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3 general election in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 2008. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in early August further consolidated the Republican position, leaving an independent candidate with minimal statewide infrastructure or polling support. Traders price the outcome at 94 percent Republican because South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns, Rounds' established incumbency advantages, and the absence of competitive challengers have historically produced large margins. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$10,184Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured his party's nomination with over 75 percent in the June primary and now faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3 general election in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 2008. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in early August further consolidated the Republican position, leaving an independent candidate with minimal statewide infrastructure or polling support. Traders price the outcome at 94 percent Republican because South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns, Rounds' established incumbency advantages, and the absence of competitive challengers have historically produced large margins. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current trajectory before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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