South Korea's 2026 annual inflation outlook reflects moderating headline CPI readings amid persistent energy-driven pressures. July 2026 CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, below consensus expectations, as transport and food costs cooled while core inflation climbed to 2.6%. The Bank of Korea projects 2.7% for the year after hiking its base rate 25 basis points to 2.75% in July, citing lagged energy pass-through and above-target inflation. Government forecasts stand at 2.6%, with upside risks from oil prices and domestic demand recovery tied to semiconductor exports. Traders price the 2.7-2.9% band narrowly ahead of 3.0%+, underscoring uncertainty over whether recent monthly declines will anchor the annual average or if geopolitical energy shocks will push it higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОт 2,7% до 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% до 2,6% 24.3%
От 2,1% до 2,3% 13.0%
$31,215 Объем
$31,215 Объем
<1,5%
3%
1,5% — 1,7%
3%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
1%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
13%
2,4% до 2,6%
24%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
От 2,7% до 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% до 2,6% 24.3%
От 2,1% до 2,3% 13.0%
$31,215 Объем
$31,215 Объем
<1,5%
3%
1,5% — 1,7%
3%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
1%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
13%
2,4% до 2,6%
24%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea's 2026 annual inflation outlook reflects moderating headline CPI readings amid persistent energy-driven pressures. July 2026 CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, below consensus expectations, as transport and food costs cooled while core inflation climbed to 2.6%. The Bank of Korea projects 2.7% for the year after hiking its base rate 25 basis points to 2.75% in July, citing lagged energy pass-through and above-target inflation. Government forecasts stand at 2.6%, with upside risks from oil prices and domestic demand recovery tied to semiconductor exports. Traders price the 2.7-2.9% band narrowly ahead of 3.0%+, underscoring uncertainty over whether recent monthly declines will anchor the annual average or if geopolitical energy shocks will push it higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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