Recent S&P 500 strength around 7,800 reflects robust 2026 earnings growth projected at 24-25%, fueled by AI-driven capital spending and tech sector outperformance, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered near 8,000. Persistent inflation, with July CPI at 3.4% and core measures near 2.5%, has kept the Federal Reserve's policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and introduced September hike probabilities near 50%, limiting rate-cut expectations. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC decisions, labor data, and earnings revisions, as sustained profit momentum could push levels higher while sticky prices or policy tightening cap upside. Market-implied odds balance these earnings tailwinds against macro uncertainty through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$302,228 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
10%
↑ $8 600
12%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
72%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
70%
↓ $7,000
66%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
28%
↓ $5 800
8%
↓ $5 200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$302,228 Объем
↑ $10,000
$103 Объем
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,261 Объем
5%
↑ $9,000
$8 Объем
10%
↑ $8 600
$26,235 Объем
12%
↑ $8,200
$21,489 Объем
27%
↑ $8,000
$483 Объем
72%
↓ $7,400
$0 Объем
66%
↓ $7,200
$0 Объем
70%
↓ $7,000
$200 Объем
66%
↓ $6,200
$42,720 Объем
15%
↓ $6,000
$0 Объем
28%
↓ $5 800
$37,004 Объем
8%
↓ $5 200
$50,483 Объем
7%
↓ $4,500
$54,191 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 strength around 7,800 reflects robust 2026 earnings growth projected at 24-25%, fueled by AI-driven capital spending and tech sector outperformance, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered near 8,000. Persistent inflation, with July CPI at 3.4% and core measures near 2.5%, has kept the Federal Reserve's policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and introduced September hike probabilities near 50%, limiting rate-cut expectations. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC decisions, labor data, and earnings revisions, as sustained profit momentum could push levels higher while sticky prices or policy tightening cap upside. Market-implied odds balance these earnings tailwinds against macro uncertainty through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Объем
$302,228Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 strength around 7,800 reflects robust 2026 earnings growth projected at 24-25%, fueled by AI-driven capital spending and tech sector outperformance, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered near 8,000. Persistent inflation, with July CPI at 3.4% and core measures near 2.5%, has kept the Federal Reserve's policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and introduced September hike probabilities near 50%, limiting rate-cut expectations. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC decisions, labor data, and earnings revisions, as sustained profit momentum could push levels higher while sticky prices or policy tightening cap upside. Market-implied odds balance these earnings tailwinds against macro uncertainty through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$302,228Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent S&P 500 strength around 7,800 reflects robust 2026 earnings growth projected at 24-25%, fueled by AI-driven capital spending and tech sector outperformance, supporting analyst year-end targets clustered near 8,000. Persistent inflation, with July CPI at 3.4% and core measures near 2.5%, has kept the Federal Reserve's policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and introduced September hike probabilities near 50%, limiting rate-cut expectations. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC decisions, labor data, and earnings revisions, as sustained profit momentum could push levels higher while sticky prices or policy tightening cap upside. Market-implied odds balance these earnings tailwinds against macro uncertainty through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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