Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 Taipei mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. His lead stems from consistent double-digit polling margins over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen, combined with strong organizational backing in the capital and demonstrated cross-party appeal built during his first term. Recent developments, including KMT coordination ahead of the local elections and Chiang’s visibility on national issues, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, sharp shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected policy controversies that erode his current advantage before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Тайбэя
Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя
Цзян Ванань 92%
Пума Шен 4.2%
Куо Си 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Цзян Ванань
92%
Пума Шен
4%
Куо Си
2%
Цзян Ванань 92%
Пума Шен 4.2%
Куо Си 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Цзян Ванань
$2,036 Объем
92%
Пума Шен
$974 Объем
4%
Куо Си
$118 Объем
2%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 Taipei mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. His lead stems from consistent double-digit polling margins over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen, combined with strong organizational backing in the capital and demonstrated cross-party appeal built during his first term. Recent developments, including KMT coordination ahead of the local elections and Chiang’s visibility on national issues, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, sharp shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected policy controversies that erode his current advantage before ballots close.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Объем
$3,128Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 Taipei mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. His lead stems from consistent double-digit polling margins over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen, combined with strong organizational backing in the capital and demonstrated cross-party appeal built during his first term. Recent developments, including KMT coordination ahead of the local elections and Chiang’s visibility on national issues, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, sharp shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected policy controversies that erode his current advantage before ballots close.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$3,128Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 Taipei mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. His lead stems from consistent double-digit polling margins over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen, combined with strong organizational backing in the capital and demonstrated cross-party appeal built during his first term. Recent developments, including KMT coordination ahead of the local elections and Chiang’s visibility on national issues, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, sharp shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected policy controversies that erode his current advantage before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы