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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня

Чжан Шаньчжэн 89%

Хуан Ши-цзе 4.0%

Перн Шао-цзин <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Чжан Шаньчжэн 89%

Хуан Ши-цзе 4.0%

Перн Шао-цзин <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Чжан Шаньчжэн

Чжан Шаньчжэн

$2,770 Объем

89%

icon for Хуан Ши-цзе

Хуан Ши-цзе

$1,532 Объем

4%

icon for Перн Шао-цзин

Перн Шао-цзин

$1,216 Объем

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Chang San-cheng holds a commanding lead in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability among listed outcomes. The DPP formalized its challenge by nominating former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026, yet earlier polling showed the incumbent ahead of potential rivals by solid margins. KMT organizational efforts, including a July 2026 rally backing re-election bids across multiple municipalities, have reinforced party cohesion in this key special municipality. Limited recent movement in alternative candidacies, including Perng Shaw-jiin, aligns with the market's assessment of structural advantages for the sitting mayor in a contest shaped by party nominations and local governance records.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$5,518
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Chang San-cheng holds a commanding lead in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability among listed outcomes. The DPP formalized its challenge by nominating former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026, yet earlier polling showed the incumbent ahead of potential rivals by solid margins. KMT organizational efforts, including a July 2026 rally backing re-election bids across multiple municipalities, have reinforced party cohesion in this key special municipality. Limited recent movement in alternative candidacies, including Perng Shaw-jiin, aligns with the market's assessment of structural advantages for the sitting mayor in a contest shaped by party nominations and local governance records.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$5,518
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Цзян Ванань следующие выборы мэра Тайбэя?

Выиграет ли Цзян Ванань следующие выборы мэра Тайбэя?

92%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Ли Шу-чуань следующие выборы мэра Синьбэя?

Выиграет ли Ли Шу-чуань следующие выборы мэра Синьбэя?

78%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Джонни Чианг следующие выборы мэра Тайчжуна?

Выиграет ли Джонни Чианг следующие выборы мэра Тайчжуна?

89%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Чжан Шаньчжэн» с 89%, за ним следует «Хуан Ши-цзе» с 4%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня» — «Чжан Шаньчжэн» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Хуан Ши-цзе» с 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Таоюаня» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.