Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his established record, substantial campaign resources exceeding $100 million, and the state's consistent Republican lean in statewide contests. Recent July and August polling from sources including the Texas A&M Bush School and Emerson College shows the race narrowing to margins of 1 to 6 points or statistical ties, reflecting rising name recognition for Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa and some erosion in Abbott's approval. Traders continue to price Abbott as the clear favorite at 86% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent reelection in Texas and the limited time remaining before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Техаса
Победитель выборов губернатора Техаса
$56,427 Объем
$56,427 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Абботт (Р)
86%
Джина Хинохоса (Д)
15%
$56,427 Объем
$56,427 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Абботт (Р)
$25,135 Объем
86%
Джина Хинохоса (Д)
$31,293 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his established record, substantial campaign resources exceeding $100 million, and the state's consistent Republican lean in statewide contests. Recent July and August polling from sources including the Texas A&M Bush School and Emerson College shows the race narrowing to margins of 1 to 6 points or statistical ties, reflecting rising name recognition for Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa and some erosion in Abbott's approval. Traders continue to price Abbott as the clear favorite at 86% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent reelection in Texas and the limited time remaining before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$56,427Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his established record, substantial campaign resources exceeding $100 million, and the state's consistent Republican lean in statewide contests. Recent July and August polling from sources including the Texas A&M Bush School and Emerson College shows the race narrowing to margins of 1 to 6 points or statistical ties, reflecting rising name recognition for Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa and some erosion in Abbott's approval. Traders continue to price Abbott as the clear favorite at 86% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent reelection in Texas and the limited time remaining before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$56,427Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a strong position in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his established record, substantial campaign resources exceeding $100 million, and the state's consistent Republican lean in statewide contests. Recent July and August polling from sources including the Texas A&M Bush School and Emerson College shows the race narrowing to margins of 1 to 6 points or statistical ties, reflecting rising name recognition for Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa and some erosion in Abbott's approval. Traders continue to price Abbott as the clear favorite at 86% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent reelection in Texas and the limited time remaining before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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