Texas's closely contested Senate race reflects a Republican-leaning state where internal party divisions and recent polling have kept probabilities tight ahead of the November general election. The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26, remains the immediate focus, with Paxton holding narrow edges in several surveys amid debates over endorsements and establishment ties. On the Democratic side, state Representative James Talarico secured the nomination after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as a competitive challenger in head-to-head matchups that show him leading both potential Republican nominees by slim margins. Texas's voter registration advantage for Republicans and historical Senate patterns provide a modest buffer for the eventual GOP nominee, yet suburban shifts, turnout differences, and post-runoff consolidation will determine whether trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge widens or narrows further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
$204,518 Объем
$204,518 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
53%
Демократ
46%
$204,518 Объем
$204,518 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$112,887 Объем
53%
Демократ
$91,631 Объем
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's closely contested Senate race reflects a Republican-leaning state where internal party divisions and recent polling have kept probabilities tight ahead of the November general election. The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26, remains the immediate focus, with Paxton holding narrow edges in several surveys amid debates over endorsements and establishment ties. On the Democratic side, state Representative James Talarico secured the nomination after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as a competitive challenger in head-to-head matchups that show him leading both potential Republican nominees by slim margins. Texas's voter registration advantage for Republicans and historical Senate patterns provide a modest buffer for the eventual GOP nominee, yet suburban shifts, turnout differences, and post-runoff consolidation will determine whether trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge widens or narrows further.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Объем
$204,518Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's closely contested Senate race reflects a Republican-leaning state where internal party divisions and recent polling have kept probabilities tight ahead of the November general election. The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26, remains the immediate focus, with Paxton holding narrow edges in several surveys amid debates over endorsements and establishment ties. On the Democratic side, state Representative James Talarico secured the nomination after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as a competitive challenger in head-to-head matchups that show him leading both potential Republican nominees by slim margins. Texas's voter registration advantage for Republicans and historical Senate patterns provide a modest buffer for the eventual GOP nominee, yet suburban shifts, turnout differences, and post-runoff consolidation will determine whether trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge widens or narrows further.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$204,518Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's closely contested Senate race reflects a Republican-leaning state where internal party divisions and recent polling have kept probabilities tight ahead of the November general election. The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26, remains the immediate focus, with Paxton holding narrow edges in several surveys amid debates over endorsements and establishment ties. On the Democratic side, state Representative James Talarico secured the nomination after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as a competitive challenger in head-to-head matchups that show him leading both potential Republican nominees by slim margins. Texas's voter registration advantage for Republicans and historical Senate patterns provide a modest buffer for the eventual GOP nominee, yet suburban shifts, turnout differences, and post-runoff consolidation will determine whether trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge widens or narrows further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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