With numerous titles clustered tightly between 41% and 50% implied probability, trader sentiment for The Game Awards Game of the Year reflects an unusually open field this early in the 2026 cycle. The even distribution among anticipated releases such as 007 First Light, Resident Evil Requiem, Onimusha: Way of the Sword, and Grand Theft Auto VI underscores how release timing, developer track records, and early critical previews have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner. Historical voting patterns at The Game Awards favor titles with strong late-year momentum and broad critical consensus, yet the current spread indicates traders view most contenders as still subject to major shifts from upcoming showcases, review embargoes, and final-quarter launches. Key differentiators will likely emerge around narrative ambition, technical polish, and cultural resonance once more concrete data arrives ahead of the December ceremony.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоThe Game Awards: Игра года
007 First Light 44%
Resident Evil Requiem 43%
Reanimal 43%
Grand Theft Auto VI 43%
007 First Light
44%
Resident Evil Requiem
43%
Reanimal
43%
Grand Theft Auto VI
43%
Phantom Blade Zero
43%
Control Resonant
42%
Esoteric Ebb
42%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
42%
Gears of War: E-Day
42%
Exodus
42%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
42%
Saros
42%
Half-Life 3
42%
Cairn
42%
Crimson Desert
42%
The Duskbloods
42%
Stranger Than Heaven
42%
Marvel's Wolverine
41%
Slay the Spire 2
41%
Nioh 3
40%
Forza Horizon 6
40%
Pragmata
39%
Marathon
39%
Fable
39%
007 First Light 44%
Resident Evil Requiem 43%
Reanimal 43%
Grand Theft Auto VI 43%
007 First Light
44%
Resident Evil Requiem
43%
Reanimal
43%
Grand Theft Auto VI
43%
Phantom Blade Zero
43%
Control Resonant
42%
Esoteric Ebb
42%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
42%
Gears of War: E-Day
42%
Exodus
42%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
42%
Saros
42%
Half-Life 3
42%
Cairn
42%
Crimson Desert
42%
The Duskbloods
42%
Stranger Than Heaven
42%
Marvel's Wolverine
41%
Slay the Spire 2
41%
Nioh 3
40%
Forza Horizon 6
40%
Pragmata
39%
Marathon
39%
Fable
39%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With numerous titles clustered tightly between 41% and 50% implied probability, trader sentiment for The Game Awards Game of the Year reflects an unusually open field this early in the 2026 cycle. The even distribution among anticipated releases such as 007 First Light, Resident Evil Requiem, Onimusha: Way of the Sword, and Grand Theft Auto VI underscores how release timing, developer track records, and early critical previews have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner. Historical voting patterns at The Game Awards favor titles with strong late-year momentum and broad critical consensus, yet the current spread indicates traders view most contenders as still subject to major shifts from upcoming showcases, review embargoes, and final-quarter launches. Key differentiators will likely emerge around narrative ambition, technical polish, and cultural resonance once more concrete data arrives ahead of the December ceremony.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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