Tennessee's 4th congressional district holds a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured renomination in the August 6 primary with 66 percent of the vote against three challengers, preserving his established position in a district reshaped by mid-decade redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages. The Democratic nominee, Victoria Broderick, emerged from a fragmented primary but faces limited path to victory in a seat that delivered roughly 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican aligns with this structural edge and absence of competitive polling shifts. A major scandal, sustained national Democratic wave, or outlier turnout could narrow margins, though these remain low-probability events given the district's baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-04
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-04
$38,365 Объем
$38,365 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
8%
$38,365 Объем
$38,365 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$19,734 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$18,631 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district holds a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured renomination in the August 6 primary with 66 percent of the vote against three challengers, preserving his established position in a district reshaped by mid-decade redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages. The Democratic nominee, Victoria Broderick, emerged from a fragmented primary but faces limited path to victory in a seat that delivered roughly 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican aligns with this structural edge and absence of competitive polling shifts. A major scandal, sustained national Democratic wave, or outlier turnout could narrow margins, though these remain low-probability events given the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$38,365Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district holds a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured renomination in the August 6 primary with 66 percent of the vote against three challengers, preserving his established position in a district reshaped by mid-decade redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages. The Democratic nominee, Victoria Broderick, emerged from a fragmented primary but faces limited path to victory in a seat that delivered roughly 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican aligns with this structural edge and absence of competitive polling shifts. A major scandal, sustained national Democratic wave, or outlier turnout could narrow margins, though these remain low-probability events given the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,365Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district holds a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured renomination in the August 6 primary with 66 percent of the vote against three challengers, preserving his established position in a district reshaped by mid-decade redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages. The Democratic nominee, Victoria Broderick, emerged from a fragmented primary but faces limited path to victory in a seat that delivered roughly 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican aligns with this structural edge and absence of competitive polling shifts. A major scandal, sustained national Democratic wave, or outlier turnout could narrow margins, though these remain low-probability events given the district's baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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