Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
34% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 янв. 2027 г.
Да
34% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 янв. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Объем
$69Дата окончания
3 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$69Дата окончания
3 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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