**The September 16-17 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75-4.00% range for the first time since 2023 serves as the immediate catalyst shaping trader views on whether President Trump will publicly insult Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.** Warsh, Trump’s handpicked successor to Jerome Powell who took office in May, joined a unanimous vote and defended the move by citing persistently elevated inflation, directly countering the administration’s preference for lower borrowing costs to support growth. Trump responded on Truth Social by demanding rates at “1% or less” while blaming a “hostile” and “political” board rather than targeting Warsh personally, later telling reporters he remains “aligned with Kevin” and views him as a “good man.” This dynamic echoes Trump’s prior pattern with Powell but reflects greater restraint so far, amid ongoing inflation pressures above the 2% target and signals of at least one additional hike by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and labor-market data, and Treasury yield movements that could either reinforce or ease the policy divergence. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with odds of an insult by late September having risen notably after the hike but still leaving room for scenarios where Warsh maintains alignment or further rate actions test the relationship.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
31 октября
8%
30 ноября
18%
31 декабря
32%
$3,596 Объем
31 октября
$1,045 Объем
8%
30 ноября
$1,164 Объем
18%
31 декабря
$1,387 Объем
32%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at Kevin Warsh, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at Kevin Warsh within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Kevin Warsh either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging Kevin Warsh in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Kevin Warsh will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.**The September 16-17 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75-4.00% range for the first time since 2023 serves as the immediate catalyst shaping trader views on whether President Trump will publicly insult Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.** Warsh, Trump’s handpicked successor to Jerome Powell who took office in May, joined a unanimous vote and defended the move by citing persistently elevated inflation, directly countering the administration’s preference for lower borrowing costs to support growth. Trump responded on Truth Social by demanding rates at “1% or less” while blaming a “hostile” and “political” board rather than targeting Warsh personally, later telling reporters he remains “aligned with Kevin” and views him as a “good man.”
This dynamic echoes Trump’s prior pattern with Powell but reflects greater restraint so far, amid ongoing inflation pressures above the 2% target and signals of at least one additional hike by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and labor-market data, and Treasury yield movements that could either reinforce or ease the policy divergence. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with odds of an insult by late September having risen notably after the hike but still leaving room for scenarios where Warsh maintains alignment or further rate actions test the relationship.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at Kevin Warsh, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at Kevin Warsh within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Kevin Warsh either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging Kevin Warsh in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Kevin Warsh will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at Kevin Warsh, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at Kevin Warsh within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Kevin Warsh either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging Kevin Warsh in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Kevin Warsh will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,596Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 11:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at Kevin Warsh, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at Kevin Warsh within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Kevin Warsh either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging Kevin Warsh in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Kevin Warsh will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.**The September 16-17 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75-4.00% range for the first time since 2023 serves as the immediate catalyst shaping trader views on whether President Trump will publicly insult Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.** Warsh, Trump’s handpicked successor to Jerome Powell who took office in May, joined a unanimous vote and defended the move by citing persistently elevated inflation, directly countering the administration’s preference for lower borrowing costs to support growth. Trump responded on Truth Social by demanding rates at “1% or less” while blaming a “hostile” and “political” board rather than targeting Warsh personally, later telling reporters he remains “aligned with Kevin” and views him as a “good man.”
This dynamic echoes Trump’s prior pattern with Powell but reflects greater restraint so far, amid ongoing inflation pressures above the 2% target and signals of at least one additional hike by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and labor-market data, and Treasury yield movements that could either reinforce or ease the policy divergence. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with odds of an insult by late September having risen notably after the hike but still leaving room for scenarios where Warsh maintains alignment or further rate actions test the relationship.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at Kevin Warsh, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at Kevin Warsh within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Kevin Warsh either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging Kevin Warsh in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Kevin Warsh will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at Kevin Warsh, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at Kevin Warsh within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Kevin Warsh either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging Kevin Warsh in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Kevin Warsh will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,596Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 11:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**The September 16-17 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75-4.00% range for the first time since 2023 serves as the immediate catalyst shaping trader views on whether President Trump will publicly insult Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.** Warsh, Trump’s handpicked successor to Jerome Powell who took office in May, joined a unanimous vote and defended the move by citing persistently elevated inflation, directly countering the administration’s preference for lower borrowing costs to support growth. Trump responded on Truth Social by demanding rates at “1% or less” while blaming a “hostile” and “political” board rather than targeting Warsh personally, later telling reporters he remains “aligned with Kevin” and views him as a “good man.” This dynamic echoes Trump’s prior pattern with Powell but reflects greater restraint so far, amid ongoing inflation pressures above the 2% target and signals of at least one additional hike by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and labor-market data, and Treasury yield movements that could either reinforce or ease the policy divergence. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with odds of an insult by late September having risen notably after the hike but still leaving room for scenarios where Warsh maintains alignment or further rate actions test the relationship.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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