**Turkey’s ruling AKP has advanced internal discussions and draft proposals on constitutional reform, including limited shifts of presidential powers toward the cabinet and parliament, yet no formal legislative initiative or broad cross-party process for a full new charter has materialized by late August 2026.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş previously expressed optimism for progress in 2026-2027, and advisor Mehmet Uçum has linked any new constitution to the subsequent legislative term rather than the current one. Recent parliamentary focus has centered on a Framework Law tied to the PKK peace process, passed in August with over 460 votes, which some view as potentially building support for future amendments but does not itself trigger constitutional drafting. Achieving a new constitution requires at least 360 votes to reach referendum stage and faces tight timelines, fragmented opposition, and competing priorities such as electoral adjustments, supporting trader consensus on limited near-term prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
9% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkey’s ruling AKP has advanced internal discussions and draft proposals on constitutional reform, including limited shifts of presidential powers toward the cabinet and parliament, yet no formal legislative initiative or broad cross-party process for a full new charter has materialized by late August 2026.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş previously expressed optimism for progress in 2026-2027, and advisor Mehmet Uçum has linked any new constitution to the subsequent legislative term rather than the current one. Recent parliamentary focus has centered on a Framework Law tied to the PKK peace process, passed in August with over 460 votes, which some view as potentially building support for future amendments but does not itself trigger constitutional drafting. Achieving a new constitution requires at least 360 votes to reach referendum stage and faces tight timelines, fragmented opposition, and competing priorities such as electoral adjustments, supporting trader consensus on limited near-term prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$7,413Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkey’s ruling AKP has advanced internal discussions and draft proposals on constitutional reform, including limited shifts of presidential powers toward the cabinet and parliament, yet no formal legislative initiative or broad cross-party process for a full new charter has materialized by late August 2026.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş previously expressed optimism for progress in 2026-2027, and advisor Mehmet Uçum has linked any new constitution to the subsequent legislative term rather than the current one. Recent parliamentary focus has centered on a Framework Law tied to the PKK peace process, passed in August with over 460 votes, which some view as potentially building support for future amendments but does not itself trigger constitutional drafting. Achieving a new constitution requires at least 360 votes to reach referendum stage and faces tight timelines, fragmented opposition, and competing priorities such as electoral adjustments, supporting trader consensus on limited near-term prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$7,413Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Turkey’s ruling AKP has advanced internal discussions and draft proposals on constitutional reform, including limited shifts of presidential powers toward the cabinet and parliament, yet no formal legislative initiative or broad cross-party process for a full new charter has materialized by late August 2026.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş previously expressed optimism for progress in 2026-2027, and advisor Mehmet Uçum has linked any new constitution to the subsequent legislative term rather than the current one. Recent parliamentary focus has centered on a Framework Law tied to the PKK peace process, passed in August with over 460 votes, which some view as potentially building support for future amendments but does not itself trigger constitutional drafting. Achieving a new constitution requires at least 360 votes to reach referendum stage and faces tight timelines, fragmented opposition, and competing priorities such as electoral adjustments, supporting trader consensus on limited near-term prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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